TEMBO
Tembo Global Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TEMBO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) trades at ₹64,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100.
On the numbers, Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.0× earnings, ROE of 27.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TEMBO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TEMBO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TEMBO's market cap of 1,130 Cr ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's book value of ₹24 ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's promoter holding of 39.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 136.0% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's 3-year revenue growth of 63.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TEMBO overvalued? TEMBO P/E vs peers
TEMBO trades at 13.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TEMBO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.8y of TEMBO history (38%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEMBO 2027 | ₹33 | ₹62 | ₹117 | +1% |
| TEMBO 2028 | ₹26 | ₹63 | ₹153 | +3% |
| TEMBO 2029 | ₹21 | ₹64 | ₹192 | +4% |
| TEMBO 2030 | ₹18 | ₹64 | ₹231 | +6% |
| TEMBO 2031 | ₹16 | ₹65 | ₹270 | +7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TEMBO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TEMBO
- TEMBO's P/E of 12.4x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's return on equity of 27.5% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TEMBO's return on capital employed of 22.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹192.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.
TEMBO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 7.8 years TEMBO compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹33-₹117, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TEMBO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TEMBO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TEMBO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TEMBO price target & forecast page.
TEMBO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TEMBO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TEMBO MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TEMBO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 36.57% | 2.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 35.33% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the TEMBO MTF page.
About Tembo Global Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,183 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TEMBO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tembo Global Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TEMBO analysis, FAQs
Is Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tembo Global Industries Limited (TEMBO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.0× earnings, ROE of 27.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TEMBO overvalued or undervalued?
TEMBO trades at 13.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TEMBO share price target for 2031?
TEMBO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹65, with an 80% range of ₹16-₹270 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TEMBO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TEMBO reaching ₹122 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for TEMBO?
TEMBO's P/E of 12.4x is lower than 81% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TEMBO's return on equity of 27.5% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TEMBO's return on capital employed of 22.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in TEMBO?
High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.