TEXRAIL
Texmaco Rail & Engineering
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Texmaco Rail & Engineering (TEXRAIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TEXRAIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Texmaco Rail & Engineering (TEXRAIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TEXRAIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TEXRAIL history (-35%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEXRAIL 2027 | ₹38 | ₹69 | ₹126 | -37% |
| TEXRAIL 2028 | ₹19 | ₹44 | ₹103 | -60% |
| TEXRAIL 2029 | ₹10 | ₹28 | ₹79 | -74% |
| TEXRAIL 2030 | ₹5 | ₹17 | ₹58 | -84% |
| TEXRAIL 2031 | ₹3 | ₹11 | ₹43 | -90% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TEXRAIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TEXRAIL
- Texmaco Rail & Engineering is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹79.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹10.
TEXRAIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TEXRAIL compounded at -35%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38–₹126, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TEXRAIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TEXRAIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TEXRAIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TEXRAIL price target & forecast page.
TEXRAIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TEXRAIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the TEXRAIL MTF page.
TEXRAIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Texmaco Rail & Engineering: sector, index & market-cap context
Texmaco Rail & Engineering (TEXRAIL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the TEXRAIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Texmaco Rail & Engineering's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TEXRAIL analysis, FAQs
Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering (TEXRAIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Texmaco Rail & Engineering (TEXRAIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TEXRAIL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for TEXRAIL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the TEXRAIL share price target for 2031?
TEXRAIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹11, with an 80% range of ₹3–₹43 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TEXRAIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TEXRAIL reaching ₹219 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for TEXRAIL?
Texmaco Rail & Engineering is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TEXRAIL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.