TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TFCILTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) trades at ₹115,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 62.4× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TFCILTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TFCILTD ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- TFCILTD's market cap of 5,331 Cr ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TFCILTD's book value of ₹22 ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TFCILTD's promoter holding of 3.9% ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TFCILTD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 81.0% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TFCILTD's 3-year revenue growth of 81.0% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for TFCILTD, as of 10 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is TFCILTD overvalued? TFCILTD P/E vs peers
TFCILTD trades at 62.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TFCILTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TFCILTD history (26%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFCILTD 2027 | ₹62 | ₹115 | ₹212 | -1% |
| TFCILTD 2028 | ₹48 | ₹114 | ₹272 | -2% |
| TFCILTD 2029 | ₹39 | ₹113 | ₹328 | -2% |
| TFCILTD 2030 | ₹33 | ₹112 | ₹386 | -3% |
| TFCILTD 2031 | ₹28 | ₹111 | ₹445 | -4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TFCILTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TFCILTD
- Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹328.
The bear case & risks
- TFCILTD's P/E of 62.4x is lower than 20% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TFCILTD's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹39.
TFCILTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TFCILTD compounded at 26%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹62-₹212, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TFCILTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TFCILTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TFCILTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TFCILTD price target & forecast page.
TFCILTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TFCILTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TFCILTD MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TFCILTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.17% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 60.00% | 1.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.17% | 2.6× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 38.17% | 2.6× |
| Paytm Money | 38.21% | 2.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 38.17% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the TFCILTD MTF page.
About Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,331 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TFCILTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TFCILTD analysis, FAQs
Is Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited (TFCILTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 62.4× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TFCILTD overvalued or undervalued?
TFCILTD trades at 62.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TFCILTD share price target for 2031?
TFCILTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹111, with an 80% range of ₹28-₹445 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TFCILTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TFCILTD reaching ₹232 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for TFCILTD?
Tourism Finance Corporation Of India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TFCILTD?
TFCILTD's P/E of 62.4x is lower than 20% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. TFCILTD's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.