Case study

THANGAMAYL

THANGAMAYL

Mixed signals1y model +59.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

THANGAMAYL (THANGAMAYL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is THANGAMAYL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, THANGAMAYL (THANGAMAYL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

THANGAMAYL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of THANGAMAYL history (60%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
THANGAMAYL 2027₹4,463₹8,682₹16,740+59%
THANGAMAYL 2028₹5,428₹13,758₹35,012+152%
THANGAMAYL 2029₹6,933₹21,842₹70,041+300%
THANGAMAYL 2030₹9,509₹35,799₹1,33,309+556%
THANGAMAYL 2031₹12,799₹57,047₹2,50,429+946%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability THANGAMAYL goes up, or doubles?

81%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
98%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
92%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹10,909 within 5 years

The bull case for THANGAMAYL

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹8,682 (+59%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹70,041.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6,933.

THANGAMAYL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years THANGAMAYL compounded at 60%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,463₹16,740, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

THANGAMAYL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
59.2%
80% range₹4,463–₹16,740
P(price ↑)81%
P(price 2×)33%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
300.4%
80% range₹6,933–₹70,041
P(price ↑)94%
P(price 2×)78%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
945.8%
80% range₹12,799–₹2,50,429
P(price ↑)98%
P(price 2×)92%

THANGAMAYL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
THANGAMAYL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds THANGAMAYL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the THANGAMAYL price target & forecast page.

THANGAMAYL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy THANGAMAYL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.9%2.5×
Dhan64.0%1.6×

Compare every broker on the THANGAMAYL MTF page.

THANGAMAYL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
THANGAMAYL (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About THANGAMAYL: sector, index & market-cap context

THANGAMAYL (THANGAMAYL) is an NSE-listed company.

How the THANGAMAYL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of THANGAMAYL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

THANGAMAYL analysis, FAQs

Is THANGAMAYL (THANGAMAYL) a good buy?

On the numbers, THANGAMAYL (THANGAMAYL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is THANGAMAYL overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for THANGAMAYL are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the THANGAMAYL share price target for 2031?

THANGAMAYL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹57,047, with an 80% range of ₹12,799₹2,50,429 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability THANGAMAYL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of THANGAMAYL reaching ₹10,909 (2×) within 5 years is 92%.

What is the bull case for THANGAMAYL?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹8,682 (+59%).

What are the risks in THANGAMAYL?

High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on THANGAMAYL