THELEELA
LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is THELEELA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) trades at ₹495,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 40.5× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
THELEELA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is THELEELA overvalued? THELEELA P/E vs its sector
THELEELA's P/E of 40.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
THELEELA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.0y of THELEELA history (12%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THELEELA 2027 | ₹362 | ₹535 | ₹783 | +8% |
| THELEELA 2028 | ₹329 | ₹574 | ₹1,003 | +16% |
| THELEELA 2029 | ₹312 | ₹622 | ₹1,215 | +26% |
| THELEELA 2030 | ₹302 | ₹668 | ₹1,462 | +35% |
| THELEELA 2031 | ₹303 | ₹726 | ₹1,742 | +47% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability THELEELA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for THELEELA
- LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,215.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 40.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹312.
THELEELA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.0 years THELEELA compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹362–₹783, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
THELEELA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
THELEELA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds THELEELA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the THELEELA price target & forecast page.
THELEELA Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. THELEELA scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
THELEELA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy THELEELA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 27.9% | 3.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 27.9% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 27.9% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the THELEELA MTF page.
THELEELA vs peers,sector comparison
About LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,546 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the THELEELA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
THELEELA analysis, FAQs
Is LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) a good buy?
On the numbers, LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD (THELEELA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 40.5× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is THELEELA overvalued or undervalued?
THELEELA trades at 40.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the THELEELA share price target for 2031?
THELEELA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹726, with an 80% range of ₹303–₹1,742 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability THELEELA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of THELEELA reaching ₹988 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for THELEELA?
LEELA PALACES HOTEL LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in THELEELA?
A rich 40.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.