THELEELA
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is THELEELA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) trades at ₹518,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
THELEELA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How THELEELA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- THELEELA's market cap of 17,299 Cr ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's book value of ₹192 ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's promoter holding of 75.9% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 106.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's 3-year revenue growth of 21.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is THELEELA overvalued? THELEELA P/E vs peers
THELEELA trades at 38.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
THELEELA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.2y of THELEELA history (15%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THELEELA 2027 | ₹373 | ₹553 | ₹821 | +7% |
| THELEELA 2028 | ₹340 | ₹591 | ₹1,028 | +14% |
| THELEELA 2029 | ₹318 | ₹631 | ₹1,255 | +22% |
| THELEELA 2030 | ₹308 | ₹675 | ₹1,476 | +30% |
| THELEELA 2031 | ₹296 | ₹721 | ₹1,757 | +39% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability THELEELA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for THELEELA
- Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,255.
The bear case & risks
- THELEELA's P/E of 38.6x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THELEELA's return on equity of 8.2% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹318.
THELEELA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.2 years THELEELA compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹373-₹821, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
THELEELA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
THELEELA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds THELEELA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the THELEELA price target & forecast page.
THELEELA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. THELEELA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
THELEELA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy THELEELA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.18% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 28.17% | 3.5× |
| Groww | 28.24% | 3.5× |
| Dhan | 28.17% | 3.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 37.84% | 2.6× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 28.13% | 3.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 28.17% | 3.5× |
| Bajaj Broking | 32.00% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 28.23% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the THELEELA MTF page.
About Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,299 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the THELEELA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
THELEELA analysis, FAQs
Is Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited (THELEELA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is THELEELA overvalued or undervalued?
THELEELA trades at 38.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the THELEELA share price target for 2031?
THELEELA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹721, with an 80% range of ₹296-₹1,757 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability THELEELA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of THELEELA reaching ₹1,036 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for THELEELA?
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in THELEELA?
THELEELA's P/E of 38.6x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. THELEELA's return on equity of 8.2% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.