THOMASCOOK
Thomas Cook (India) Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is THOMASCOOK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) trades at ₹106,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.3× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
THOMASCOOK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How THOMASCOOK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- THOMASCOOK's market cap of 4,898 Cr ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THOMASCOOK's book value of ₹54 ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THOMASCOOK's promoter holding of 64.8% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THOMASCOOK's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 222.0% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THOMASCOOK's 3-year revenue growth of 18.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- THOMASCOOK's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is THOMASCOOK overvalued? THOMASCOOK P/E vs peers
THOMASCOOK trades at 22.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
THOMASCOOK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of THOMASCOOK history (4%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THOMASCOOK 2027 | ₹57 | ₹105 | ₹192 | +1% |
| THOMASCOOK 2028 | ₹44 | ₹105 | ₹251 | +1% |
| THOMASCOOK 2029 | ₹36 | ₹106 | ₹310 | +2% |
| THOMASCOOK 2030 | ₹32 | ₹107 | ₹361 | +3% |
| THOMASCOOK 2031 | ₹28 | ₹107 | ₹412 | +3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability THOMASCOOK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for THOMASCOOK
- THOMASCOOK's P/E of 21.8x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹310.
The bear case & risks
- THOMASCOOK's return on equity of 9.3% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹36.
THOMASCOOK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years THOMASCOOK compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹57-₹192, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
THOMASCOOK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
THOMASCOOK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds THOMASCOOK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the THOMASCOOK price target & forecast page.
THOMASCOOK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. THOMASCOOK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
THOMASCOOK MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy THOMASCOOK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 36.43% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 36.40% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 36.56% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 36.40% | 2.7× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 36.36% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 42.56% | 2.3× |
| Pocketful | 36.88% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 36.40% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 38.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 36.55% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the THOMASCOOK MTF page.
About Thomas Cook (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,008 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the THOMASCOOK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Thomas Cook (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
THOMASCOOK analysis, FAQs
Is Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) a good buy?
On the numbers, Thomas Cook (India) Limited (THOMASCOOK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.3× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is THOMASCOOK overvalued or undervalued?
THOMASCOOK trades at 22.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the THOMASCOOK share price target for 2031?
THOMASCOOK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹107, with an 80% range of ₹28-₹412 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability THOMASCOOK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of THOMASCOOK reaching ₹208 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for THOMASCOOK?
THOMASCOOK's P/E of 21.8x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in THOMASCOOK?
THOMASCOOK's return on equity of 9.3% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.