Case study

THOMASCOTT

Thomas Scott India

Worth a closer look1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

56Score

Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is THOMASCOTT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) trades at ₹315,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.

On the numbers, Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

THOMASCOTT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹462 Cr
Current price
₹315
P/E ratio
22.8×
P/B ratio
3.37×
Book value
₹94
ROCE
20.5%
ROE
16.7%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How THOMASCOTT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is THOMASCOTT overvalued? THOMASCOTT P/E vs peers

THOMASCOTT trades at 22.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

THOMASCOTT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of THOMASCOTT history (31%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
THOMASCOTT 2027₹159₹321₹646+2%
THOMASCOTT 2028₹119₹327₹897+4%
THOMASCOTT 2029₹95₹333₹1,161+6%
THOMASCOTT 2030₹81₹339₹1,421+8%
THOMASCOTT 2031₹71₹346₹1,688+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability THOMASCOTT goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹630 within 5 years

The bull case for THOMASCOTT

  • THOMASCOTT's P/E of 22.8x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • THOMASCOTT's return on equity of 16.7% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • THOMASCOTT's return on capital employed of 20.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,161.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹95.

THOMASCOTT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years THOMASCOTT compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹159-₹646, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

THOMASCOTT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹159-₹646
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.7%
80% range₹95-₹1,161
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)25%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.6%
80% range₹71-₹1,688
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)32%

THOMASCOTT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
THOMASCOTT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds THOMASCOTT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the THOMASCOTT price target & forecast page.

THOMASCOTT Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. THOMASCOTT scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

THOMASCOTT MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy THOMASCOTT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
GrowwCHEAPEST60.00%1.7×

Compare every broker on the THOMASCOTT MTF page.

About Thomas Scott India: sector, index & market-cap context

Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹462 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the THOMASCOTT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Thomas Scott India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

THOMASCOTT analysis, FAQs

Is Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Thomas Scott India (THOMASCOTT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 16.7%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is THOMASCOTT overvalued or undervalued?

THOMASCOTT trades at 22.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the THOMASCOTT share price target for 2031?

THOMASCOTT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹346, with an 80% range of ₹71-₹1,688 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability THOMASCOTT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of THOMASCOTT reaching ₹630 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for THOMASCOTT?

THOMASCOTT's P/E of 22.8x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. THOMASCOTT's return on equity of 16.7% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. THOMASCOTT's return on capital employed of 20.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in THOMASCOTT?

High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on THOMASCOTT