TI
Tilaknagar Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) trades at ₹488,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TI's market cap of 12,145 Cr ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TI's book value of ₹121 ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TI's promoter holding of 31.7% ranks in the 9th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 53.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TI's 3-year revenue growth of 26.0% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TI's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TI overvalued? TI P/E vs peers
TI trades at 53.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TI history (35%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TI 2027 | ₹276 | ₹512 | ₹950 | +4% |
| TI 2028 | ₹225 | ₹534 | ₹1,265 | +9% |
| TI 2029 | ₹191 | ₹557 | ₹1,628 | +13% |
| TI 2030 | ₹170 | ₹581 | ₹1,982 | +18% |
| TI 2031 | ₹155 | ₹606 | ₹2,365 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TI
- TI's return on equity of 13.1% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,628.
The bear case & risks
- TI's P/E of 53.7x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹191.
TI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TI compounded at 35%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹276-₹950, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TI price target & forecast page.
TI Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TI scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TI MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 34.34% | 2.9× |
| Groww | 34.41% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 44.38% | 2.3× |
| Pocketful | 34.69% | 2.9× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.34% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 42.00% | 2.4× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.27% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the TI MTF page.
About Tilaknagar Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,093 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tilaknagar Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TI analysis, FAQs
Is Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tilaknagar Industries Limited (TI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TI overvalued or undervalued?
TI trades at 53.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TI share price target for 2031?
TI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹606, with an 80% range of ₹155-₹2,365 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TI reaching ₹982 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for TI?
TI's return on equity of 13.1% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in TI?
TI's P/E of 53.7x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.