Case study

TIINDIA

Tube Investments of India

High-risk on the numbers1y model -18.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TIINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) trades at ₹3,308,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 97.0× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TIINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹63,903 Cr
Current price
₹3,308
P/E ratio
97.0×
P/B ratio
8.27×
Book value
₹400
Dividend yield
0.11%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
9.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is TIINDIA overvalued? TIINDIA P/E vs its sector

TIINDIA's P/E of 97.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.11% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

TIINDIA P/E
97.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
TIINDIA div yield
0.11%
Peer median yield
1.65%

TIINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TIINDIA history (-14%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TIINDIA 2027₹1,701₹2,668₹4,259-19%
TIINDIA 2028₹1,152₹2,188₹4,204-33%
TIINDIA 2029₹807₹1,781₹3,974-46%
TIINDIA 2030₹578₹1,459₹3,699-56%
TIINDIA 2031₹426₹1,193₹3,409-64%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TIINDIA goes up, or doubles?

29%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
11%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,571 within 5 years

The bull case for TIINDIA

  • Tube Investments of India is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,974.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 97.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹807.

TIINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years TIINDIA compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,701₹4,259, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TIINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
18.8%
80% range₹1,701–₹4,259
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
45.8%
80% range₹807–₹3,974
P(price ↑)16%
P(price 2×)2%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
63.7%
80% range₹426–₹3,409
P(price ↑)11%
P(price 2×)2%

TIINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TIINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TIINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TIINDIA price target & forecast page.

TIINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TIINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

TIINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TIINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.2%3.1×
Zerodha27.4%3.6×
DhanCHEAPEST25.2%4.0×

Compare every broker on the TIINDIA MTF page.

TIINDIA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TIINDIA (this stock)97.0×0.11%₹63,903 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Tube Investments of India: sector, index & market-cap context

Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹63,903 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the TIINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tube Investments of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TIINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 97.0× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TIINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

TIINDIA trades at 97.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the TIINDIA share price target for 2031?

TIINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,193, with an 80% range of ₹426₹3,409 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TIINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TIINDIA reaching ₹6,571 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for TIINDIA?

Tube Investments of India is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in TIINDIA?

A rich 97.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on TIINDIA