Case study

TIL

Til Limited

Mixed signals1y model -4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Til Limited (TIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Til Limited (TIL) trades at ₹252,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Til Limited (TIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.5× earnings, ROE of -26.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,031 Cr
Current price
₹252
P/E ratio
13.5×
P/B ratio
18.67×
Book value
₹14
ROCE
2.9%
ROE
-26.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How TIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TIL overvalued? TIL P/E vs peers

TIL trades at 13.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TIL history (12%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TIL 2027₹111₹223₹450-4%
TIL 2028₹80₹214₹573-8%
TIL 2029₹62₹206₹680-11%
TIL 2030₹49₹197₹802-15%
TIL 2031₹40₹190₹900-18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TIL goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
43%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹464 within 5 years

The bull case for TIL

  • TIL's P/E of 13.5x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹680.

The bear case & risks

  • A steep 18.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • TIL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹62.

TIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TIL compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹111-₹450, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹111-₹450
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹62-₹680
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.3%
80% range₹40-₹900
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)23%

TIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TIL price target & forecast page.

TIL Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TIL scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

TIL MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST41.88%2.4×
Groww42.06%2.4×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money47.90%2.1×
Share India42.04%2.4×

Compare every broker on the TIL MTF page.

About Til Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Til Limited (TIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,031 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Til Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TIL analysis, FAQs

Is Til Limited (TIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Til Limited (TIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.5× earnings, ROE of -26.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TIL overvalued or undervalued?

TIL trades at 13.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TIL share price target for 2031?

TIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹190, with an 80% range of ₹40-₹900 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TIL reaching ₹464 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for TIL?

TIL's P/E of 13.5x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TIL?

A steep 18.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. TIL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TIL