TITAGARH
Titagarh Rail Systems Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TITAGARH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) trades at ₹847,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 71.4× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TITAGARH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TITAGARH ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TITAGARH's market cap of 11,413 Cr ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's book value of ₹182 ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's promoter holding of 40.5% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 7.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TITAGARH overvalued? TITAGARH P/E vs peers
TITAGARH trades at 71.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TITAGARH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TITAGARH history (22%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TITAGARH 2027 | ₹528 | ₹897 | ₹1,523 | +6% |
| TITAGARH 2028 | ₹450 | ₹948 | ₹2,001 | +12% |
| TITAGARH 2029 | ₹406 | ₹1,003 | ₹2,482 | +18% |
| TITAGARH 2030 | ₹373 | ₹1,061 | ₹3,017 | +25% |
| TITAGARH 2031 | ₹346 | ₹1,123 | ₹3,646 | +33% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TITAGARH goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TITAGARH
- Titagarh Rail Systems Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,482.
The bear case & risks
- TITAGARH's P/E of 71.4x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TITAGARH's return on equity of 6.5% ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹406.
TITAGARH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TITAGARH compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹528-₹1,523, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TITAGARH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TITAGARH price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TITAGARH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TITAGARH price target & forecast page.
TITAGARH Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TITAGARH scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TITAGARH MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TITAGARH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 34.32% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 34.29% | 2.9× |
| Groww | 34.44% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 34.25% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 34.54% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 34.72% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.29% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 34.44% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the TITAGARH MTF page.
About Titagarh Rail Systems Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,413 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TITAGARH Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Titagarh Rail Systems Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TITAGARH analysis, FAQs
Is Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) a good buy?
On the numbers, Titagarh Rail Systems Limited (TITAGARH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 71.4× earnings, ROE of 6.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TITAGARH overvalued or undervalued?
TITAGARH trades at 71.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TITAGARH share price target for 2031?
TITAGARH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,123, with an 80% range of ₹346-₹3,646 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TITAGARH doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TITAGARH reaching ₹1,695 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for TITAGARH?
Titagarh Rail Systems Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TITAGARH?
TITAGARH's P/E of 71.4x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TITAGARH's return on equity of 6.5% ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.