TNPETRO
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TNPETRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) trades at ₹101,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.9× earnings, ROE of 9.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TNPETRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TNPETRO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TNPETRO's market cap of 909 Cr ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TNPETRO's book value of ₹113 ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TNPETRO's promoter holding of 34.5% ranks in the 11th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TNPETRO's 3-year revenue growth of -12.0% ranks in the 8th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TNPETRO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a 3-year profit (PAT) growth figure for TNPETRO, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is TNPETRO overvalued? TNPETRO P/E vs peers
TNPETRO trades at 9.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TNPETRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TNPETRO history (15%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TNPETRO 2027 | ₹68 | ₹105 | ₹162 | +4% |
| TNPETRO 2028 | ₹58 | ₹109 | ₹204 | +8% |
| TNPETRO 2029 | ₹52 | ₹113 | ₹244 | +11% |
| TNPETRO 2030 | ₹48 | ₹117 | ₹285 | +16% |
| TNPETRO 2031 | ₹44 | ₹121 | ₹331 | +20% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TNPETRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TNPETRO
- TNPETRO's P/E of 9.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.89×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹244.
The bear case & risks
- TNPETRO's return on equity of 9.6% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹52.
TNPETRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TNPETRO compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹68-₹162, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TNPETRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TNPETRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TNPETRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TNPETRO price target & forecast page.
TNPETRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TNPETRO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
TNPETRO MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TNPETRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 31.34% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 31.32% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the TNPETRO MTF page.
About Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹909 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TNPETRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TNPETRO analysis, FAQs
Is Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited (TNPETRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.9× earnings, ROE of 9.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TNPETRO overvalued or undervalued?
TNPETRO trades at 9.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TNPETRO share price target for 2031?
TNPETRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹121, with an 80% range of ₹44-₹331 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TNPETRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TNPETRO reaching ₹202 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for TNPETRO?
TNPETRO's P/E of 9.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.89×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in TNPETRO?
TNPETRO's return on equity of 9.6% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.