TOP10ADD
DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF (TOP10ADD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TOP10ADD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF (TOP10ADD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 70% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How TOP10ADD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
TOP10ADD is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
TOP10ADD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.9y of TOP10ADD history (-4%/yr drift, 13%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOP10ADD 2027 | ₹81 | ₹96 | ₹114 | +7% |
| TOP10ADD 2028 | ₹81 | ₹103 | ₹131 | +15% |
| TOP10ADD 2029 | ₹82 | ₹110 | ₹148 | +23% |
| TOP10ADD 2030 | ₹85 | ₹118 | ₹165 | +32% |
| TOP10ADD 2031 | ₹88 | ₹127 | ₹184 | +42% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TOP10ADD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TOP10ADD
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 70% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹96 (+7%).
- Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹148.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.
TOP10ADD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.9 years TOP10ADD compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 13%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹81-₹114, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TOP10ADD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TOP10ADD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TOP10ADD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TOP10ADD price target & forecast page.
TOP10ADD MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TOP10ADD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the TOP10ADD MTF page.
About DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF (TOP10ADD) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TOP10ADD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TOP10ADD analysis, FAQs
Is DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF (TOP10ADD) a good buy?
On the numbers, DSP Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight ETF (TOP10ADD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 70% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TOP10ADD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for TOP10ADD are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the TOP10ADD share price target for 2031?
TOP10ADD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹127, with an 80% range of ₹88-₹184 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TOP10ADD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TOP10ADD reaching ₹179 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.
What is the bull case for TOP10ADD?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 70% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹96 (+7%). Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in TOP10ADD?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.