Case study

TPLPLASTEH

TPL Plastech Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

68Score

TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TPLPLASTEH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) trades at ₹76,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.

On the numbers, TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TPLPLASTEH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹594 Cr
Current price
₹76
P/E ratio
19.7×
P/B ratio
3.50×
Book value
₹22
Dividend yield
1.32%
ROCE
22.3%
ROE
18.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How TPLPLASTEH ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is TPLPLASTEH overvalued? TPLPLASTEH P/E vs peers

TPLPLASTEH trades at 19.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TPLPLASTEH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TPLPLASTEH history (5%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TPLPLASTEH 2027₹44₹77₹133+2%
TPLPLASTEH 2028₹36₹78₹172+4%
TPLPLASTEH 2029₹31₹80₹207+6%
TPLPLASTEH 2030₹27₹81₹242+8%
TPLPLASTEH 2031₹24₹83₹285+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TPLPLASTEH goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹151 within 5 years

The bull case for TPLPLASTEH

  • TPLPLASTEH's P/E of 19.7x is lower than 63% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • TPLPLASTEH's return on equity of 18.4% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • TPLPLASTEH's return on capital employed of 22.3% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹207.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹31.

TPLPLASTEH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TPLPLASTEH compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹44-₹133, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TPLPLASTEH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹44-₹133
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹31-₹207
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.4%
80% range₹24-₹285
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%

TPLPLASTEH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TPLPLASTEH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TPLPLASTEH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TPLPLASTEH price target & forecast page.

TPLPLASTEH Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TPLPLASTEH scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

TPLPLASTEH MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TPLPLASTEH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.39%2.7×

Compare every broker on the TPLPLASTEH MTF page.

About TPL Plastech Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹594 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TPLPLASTEH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TPL Plastech Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TPLPLASTEH analysis, FAQs

Is TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) a good buy?

On the numbers, TPL Plastech Limited (TPLPLASTEH) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TPLPLASTEH overvalued or undervalued?

TPLPLASTEH trades at 19.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TPLPLASTEH share price target for 2031?

TPLPLASTEH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹83, with an 80% range of ₹24-₹285 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TPLPLASTEH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TPLPLASTEH reaching ₹151 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for TPLPLASTEH?

TPLPLASTEH's P/E of 19.7x is lower than 63% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. TPLPLASTEH's return on equity of 18.4% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. TPLPLASTEH's return on capital employed of 22.3% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TPLPLASTEH?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on TPLPLASTEH