TRENT
Trent
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Trent (TRENT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TRENT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Trent (TRENT) trades at ₹3,181,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Trent (TRENT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 98.3× earnings, ROE of 27.7%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TRENT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TRENT overvalued? TRENT P/E vs its Retail
TRENT's P/E of 98.3× sits above the Retail peer median of 17.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.13% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.81%.
TRENT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TRENT history (-27%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRENT 2027 | ₹1,202 | ₹2,210 | ₹4,090 | -31% |
| TRENT 2028 | ₹636 | ₹1,506 | ₹3,572 | -53% |
| TRENT 2029 | ₹356 | ₹1,028 | ₹3,036 | -68% |
| TRENT 2030 | ₹208 | ₹717 | ₹2,369 | -78% |
| TRENT 2031 | ₹124 | ₹489 | ₹1,929 | -85% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TRENT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TRENT
- High return on equity (27.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (28.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,036.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 98.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 24.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹356.
TRENT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TRENT compounded at -27%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,202–₹4,090, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TRENT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TRENT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TRENT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TRENT price target & forecast page.
TRENT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TRENT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TRENT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRENT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.2% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.2% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the TRENT MTF page.
Which ace investors hold TRENT?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
TRENT vs peers,Retail comparison
About Trent: sector, index & market-cap context
Trent (TRENT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Retail sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.70L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the TRENT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Trent's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TRENT analysis, FAQs
Is Trent (TRENT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Trent (TRENT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 98.3× earnings, ROE of 27.7%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TRENT overvalued or undervalued?
TRENT trades at 98.3× earnings versus a peer median of 17.9×, so it screens richer than its Retail peers.
What is the TRENT share price target for 2031?
TRENT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹489, with an 80% range of ₹124–₹1,929 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TRENT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TRENT reaching ₹6,412 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for TRENT?
High return on equity (27.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (28.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in TRENT?
A rich 98.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 24.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.