Case study

TRENT

Trent Limited

Mixed signals1y model +4.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Trent Limited (TRENT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TRENT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Trent Limited (TRENT) trades at ₹2,997,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Trent Limited (TRENT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 87.4× earnings, ROE of 27.7%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TRENT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.60L Cr
Current price
₹2,997
P/E ratio
87.4×
P/B ratio
22.88×
Book value
₹131
Dividend yield
0.13%
ROCE
28.3%
ROE
27.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How TRENT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TRENT overvalued? TRENT P/E vs peers

TRENT trades at 87.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TRENT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TRENT history (28%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TRENT 2027₹1,702₹3,137₹5,782+5%
TRENT 2028₹1,370₹3,283₹7,866+10%
TRENT 2029₹1,189₹3,436₹9,926+15%
TRENT 2030₹1,057₹3,596₹12,231+20%
TRENT 2031₹949₹3,764₹14,924+26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TRENT goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹5,994 within 5 years

The bull case for TRENT

  • TRENT's return on equity of 27.7% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TRENT's return on capital employed of 28.3% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9,926.

The bear case & risks

  • TRENT's P/E of 87.4x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 22.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,189.

TRENT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TRENT compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,702-₹5,782, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TRENT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.7%
80% range₹1,702-₹5,782
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.6%
80% range₹1,189-₹9,926
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)25%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.6%
80% range₹949-₹14,924
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)33%

TRENT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TRENT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TRENT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TRENT price target & forecast page.

TRENT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TRENT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

TRENT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRENT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.98%3.5×
Zerodha27.70%3.6×
Groww27.75%3.6×
Dhan25.54%3.9×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST25.51%3.9×
Paytm Money26.18%3.8×
Pocketful32.90%3.0×
Anand Rathi32.54%3.1×
Bajaj Broking27.00%3.7×
Share India32.57%3.1×

Compare every broker on the TRENT MTF page.

Which ace investors hold TRENT?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Trent Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Trent Limited (TRENT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Retail sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.60L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TRENT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Trent Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TRENT analysis, FAQs

Is Trent Limited (TRENT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Trent Limited (TRENT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 87.4× earnings, ROE of 27.7%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TRENT overvalued or undervalued?

TRENT trades at 87.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TRENT share price target for 2031?

TRENT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,764, with an 80% range of ₹949-₹14,924 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TRENT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TRENT reaching ₹5,994 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for TRENT?

TRENT's return on equity of 27.7% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TRENT's return on capital employed of 28.3% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TRENT?

TRENT's P/E of 87.4x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 22.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TRENT