Case study

TRIDENT

TRIDENT LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +5.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TRIDENT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) trades at ₹25,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 32.5× earnings, ROE of 7.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TRIDENT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,832 Cr
Current price
₹25
P/E ratio
32.5×
P/B ratio
2.69×
Book value
₹9
Dividend yield
1.99%
ROCE
9.8%
ROE
7.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How TRIDENT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TRIDENT overvalued? TRIDENT P/E vs peers

TRIDENT trades at 32.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TRIDENT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TRIDENT history (17%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TRIDENT 2027₹18₹26₹40+5%
TRIDENT 2028₹16₹28₹50+11%
TRIDENT 2029₹14₹29₹60+16%
TRIDENT 2030₹14₹31₹70+23%
TRIDENT 2031₹13₹32₹81+29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TRIDENT goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹50 within 5 years

The bull case for TRIDENT

  • TRIDENT LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹60.

The bear case & risks

  • TRIDENT's P/E of 32.5x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TRIDENT's return on equity of 7.9% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹14.

TRIDENT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TRIDENT compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹18-₹40, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TRIDENT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹18-₹40
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.4%
80% range₹14-₹60
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.9%
80% range₹13-₹81
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)27%

TRIDENT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TRIDENT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TRIDENT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TRIDENT price target & forecast page.

TRIDENT Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TRIDENT scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

TRIDENT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRIDENT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.51%3.3×
Zerodha30.49%3.3×
Groww30.64%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.49%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.49%3.3×
Paytm Money30.80%3.2×
Pocketful31.02%3.2×
Anand Rathi30.49%3.3×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India30.61%3.3×

Compare every broker on the TRIDENT MTF page.

About TRIDENT LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,832 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TRIDENT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TRIDENT LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TRIDENT analysis, FAQs

Is TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) a good buy?

On the numbers, TRIDENT LIMITED (TRIDENT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 32.5× earnings, ROE of 7.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TRIDENT overvalued or undervalued?

TRIDENT trades at 32.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TRIDENT share price target for 2031?

TRIDENT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹32, with an 80% range of ₹13-₹81 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TRIDENT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TRIDENT reaching ₹50 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for TRIDENT?

TRIDENT LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in TRIDENT?

TRIDENT's P/E of 32.5x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TRIDENT's return on equity of 7.9% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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