Case study

TRITURBINE

Triveni Turbine

Mixed signals1y model -3.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TRITURBINE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) trades at ₹737,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 64.9× earnings, ROE of 27.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TRITURBINE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹23,463 Cr
Current price
₹737
P/E ratio
64.9×
P/B ratio
16.20×
Book value
₹46
Dividend yield
0.54%
ROCE
35.9%
ROE
27.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is TRITURBINE overvalued? TRITURBINE P/E vs its sector

TRITURBINE's P/E of 64.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.54% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

TRITURBINE P/E
64.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
TRITURBINE div yield
0.54%
Peer median yield
1.65%

TRITURBINE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TRITURBINE history (7%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TRITURBINE 2027₹366₹648₹1,144-4%
TRITURBINE 2028₹280₹628₹1,420-7%
TRITURBINE 2029₹227₹612₹1,628-9%
TRITURBINE 2030₹191₹593₹1,841-12%
TRITURBINE 2031₹160₹569₹2,030-15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TRITURBINE goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
44%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,345 within 5 years

The bull case for TRITURBINE

  • High return on equity (27.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (35.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,628.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 64.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 16.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹227.

TRITURBINE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years TRITURBINE compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹366₹1,144, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TRITURBINE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹366–₹1,144
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.9%
80% range₹227–₹1,628
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.3%
80% range₹160–₹2,030
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)19%

TRITURBINE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TRITURBINE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TRITURBINE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TRITURBINE price target & forecast page.

TRITURBINE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TRITURBINE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

TRITURBINE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRITURBINE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST34.9%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.9%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST34.9%2.9×

Compare every broker on the TRITURBINE MTF page.

TRITURBINE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TRITURBINE (this stock)64.9×0.54%₹23,463 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Triveni Turbine: sector, index & market-cap context

Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹23,463 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the TRITURBINE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Triveni Turbine's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TRITURBINE analysis, FAQs

Is Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 64.9× earnings, ROE of 27.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TRITURBINE overvalued or undervalued?

TRITURBINE trades at 64.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the TRITURBINE share price target for 2031?

TRITURBINE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹569, with an 80% range of ₹160₹2,030 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TRITURBINE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TRITURBINE reaching ₹1,345 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for TRITURBINE?

High return on equity (27.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (35.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in TRITURBINE?

A rich 64.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 16.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on TRITURBINE