Case study

TVSHLTD

TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +8.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

64Score

TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TVSHLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) trades at ₹14,908,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.

On the numbers, TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 30.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TVSHLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹30,100 Cr
Current price
₹14,908
P/E ratio
15.1×
P/B ratio
4.66×
Book value
₹3,201
Dividend yield
0.62%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
30.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How TVSHLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TVSHLTD overvalued? TVSHLTD P/E vs peers

TVSHLTD trades at 15.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TVSHLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TVSHLTD history (20%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TVSHLTD 2027₹10,514₹16,138₹24,771+9%
TVSHLTD 2028₹9,501₹17,540₹32,381+18%
TVSHLTD 2029₹9,054₹19,064₹40,142+28%
TVSHLTD 2030₹8,644₹20,720₹49,667+40%
TVSHLTD 2031₹8,589₹22,521₹59,053+52%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TVSHLTD goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
35%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹29,696 within 5 years

The bull case for TVSHLTD

  • TVSHLTD's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TVSHLTD's return on equity of 30.6% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹40,142.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9,054.

TVSHLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TVSHLTD compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹10,514-₹24,771, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TVSHLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.7%
80% range₹10,514-₹24,771
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
28.4%
80% range₹9,054-₹40,142
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
51.7%
80% range₹8,589-₹59,053
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)35%

TVSHLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TVSHLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TVSHLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TVSHLTD price target & forecast page.

TVSHLTD Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TVSHLTD scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

TVSHLTD MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TVSHLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.28%3.3×
Groww30.44%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.28%3.3×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money30.57%3.3×
Pocketful30.63%3.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.28%3.3×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India30.41%3.3×

Compare every broker on the TVSHLTD MTF page.

About TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,100 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TVSHLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TVSHLTD analysis, FAQs

Is TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, TVS HOLDINGS LIMITED (TVSHLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 30.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TVSHLTD overvalued or undervalued?

TVSHLTD trades at 15.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TVSHLTD share price target for 2031?

TVSHLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹22,521, with an 80% range of ₹8,589-₹59,053 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TVSHLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TVSHLTD reaching ₹29,696 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.

What is the bull case for TVSHLTD?

TVSHLTD's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TVSHLTD's return on equity of 30.6% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TVSHLTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on TVSHLTD