Case study

TVSSRICHAK

TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +4.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TVSSRICHAK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) trades at ₹3,971,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 43.6× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TVSSRICHAK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,042 Cr
Current price
₹3,971
P/E ratio
43.6×
P/B ratio
2.56×
Book value
₹1,554
Dividend yield
0.43%
ROCE
7.5%
ROE
5.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How TVSSRICHAK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TVSSRICHAK overvalued? TVSSRICHAK P/E vs peers

TVSSRICHAK trades at 43.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TVSSRICHAK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TVSSRICHAK history (5%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TVSSRICHAK 2027₹2,613₹4,137₹6,552+4%
TVSSRICHAK 2028₹2,262₹4,317₹8,241+9%
TVSSRICHAK 2029₹2,020₹4,505₹10,049+14%
TVSSRICHAK 2030₹1,843₹4,701₹11,992+19%
TVSSRICHAK 2031₹1,777₹4,906₹13,543+24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TVSSRICHAK goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,930 within 5 years

The bull case for TVSSRICHAK

  • TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,049.

The bear case & risks

  • TVSSRICHAK's P/E of 43.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TVSSRICHAK's return on equity of 5.9% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,020.

TVSSRICHAK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TVSSRICHAK compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,613-₹6,552, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TVSSRICHAK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹2,613-₹6,552
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.6%
80% range₹2,020-₹10,049
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
23.7%
80% range₹1,777-₹13,543
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)27%

TVSSRICHAK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TVSSRICHAK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TVSSRICHAK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TVSSRICHAK price target & forecast page.

TVSSRICHAK Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TVSSRICHAK scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

TVSSRICHAK MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TVSSRICHAK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.02%3.1×
Groww32.20%3.1×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful32.58%3.1×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.02%3.1×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India32.17%3.1×

Compare every broker on the TVSSRICHAK MTF page.

About TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,042 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TVSSRICHAK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TVSSRICHAK analysis, FAQs

Is TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) a good buy?

On the numbers, TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED (TVSSRICHAK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 43.6× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TVSSRICHAK overvalued or undervalued?

TVSSRICHAK trades at 43.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TVSSRICHAK share price target for 2031?

TVSSRICHAK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,906, with an 80% range of ₹1,777-₹13,543 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TVSSRICHAK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TVSSRICHAK reaching ₹7,930 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for TVSSRICHAK?

TVS SRICHAKRA LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in TVSSRICHAK?

TVSSRICHAK's P/E of 43.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TVSSRICHAK's return on equity of 5.9% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on TVSSRICHAK