UFO
UFO Moviez India Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about UFO, and the method behind each one.
UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) trades at ₹67,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 6.3%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
UFO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How UFO ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- UFO's market cap of 261 Cr ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- UFO's book value of ₹84 ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- UFO's promoter holding of 16.5% ranks in the bottom 2% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- UFO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 51.0% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- UFO's 3-year revenue growth of 7.0% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- UFO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29x is lower than 55% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
Is UFO overvalued? UFO P/E vs peers
UFO trades at 10.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
UFO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of UFO history (-21%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFO 2027 | ₹38 | ₹66 | ₹113 | -2% |
| UFO 2028 | ₹30 | ₹64 | ₹139 | -4% |
| UFO 2029 | ₹24 | ₹63 | ₹163 | -6% |
| UFO 2030 | ₹20 | ₹61 | ₹185 | -9% |
| UFO 2031 | ₹18 | ₹60 | ₹202 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UFO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UFO
- UFO's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 82% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.80×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹163.
The bear case & risks
- UFO's return on equity of 6.3% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹24.
UFO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years UFO compounded at -21%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38-₹113, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UFO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UFO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UFO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UFO price target & forecast page.
UFO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. UFO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
About UFO Moviez India Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹261 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the UFO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of UFO Moviez India Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UFO analysis, FAQs
Is UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) a good buy?
On the numbers, UFO Moviez India Ltd (UFO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 6.3%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UFO overvalued or undervalued?
UFO trades at 10.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the UFO share price target for 2031?
UFO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹60, with an 80% range of ₹18-₹202 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UFO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UFO reaching ₹135 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.
What is the bull case for UFO?
UFO's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 82% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.80×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in UFO?
UFO's return on equity of 6.3% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
More on UFO
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.