UNIONBANK
Union Bank of India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is UNIONBANK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) trades at ₹177,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.
On the numbers, Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.9× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
UNIONBANK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is UNIONBANK overvalued? UNIONBANK P/E vs its sector
UNIONBANK's P/E of 6.9× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.83% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
UNIONBANK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of UNIONBANK history (11%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIONBANK 2027 | ₹121 | ₹187 | ₹288 | +6% |
| UNIONBANK 2028 | ₹105 | ₹195 | ₹365 | +11% |
| UNIONBANK 2029 | ₹98 | ₹208 | ₹442 | +18% |
| UNIONBANK 2030 | ₹91 | ₹218 | ₹528 | +24% |
| UNIONBANK 2031 | ₹86 | ₹231 | ₹613 | +32% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UNIONBANK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UNIONBANK
- Trades at just 6.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- A healthy 15.7% return on equity.
- Pays a 2.8% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹442.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹98.
UNIONBANK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years UNIONBANK compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹121–₹288, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UNIONBANK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UNIONBANK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UNIONBANK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UNIONBANK price target & forecast page.
UNIONBANK Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. UNIONBANK scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
UNIONBANK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy UNIONBANK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.9% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.2% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.9% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the UNIONBANK MTF page.
UNIONBANK vs peers,sector comparison
About Union Bank of India: sector, index & market-cap context
Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.35L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the UNIONBANK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Union Bank of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UNIONBANK analysis, FAQs
Is Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) a good buy?
On the numbers, Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.9× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UNIONBANK overvalued or undervalued?
UNIONBANK trades at 6.9× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the UNIONBANK share price target for 2031?
UNIONBANK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹231, with an 80% range of ₹86–₹613 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UNIONBANK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UNIONBANK reaching ₹352 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for UNIONBANK?
Trades at just 6.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A healthy 15.7% return on equity.
What are the risks in UNIONBANK?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.