UNIONGOLD
Union Gold ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Union Gold ETF (UNIONGOLD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is UNIONGOLD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, Union Gold ETF (UNIONGOLD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How UNIONGOLD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
UNIONGOLD is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
UNIONGOLD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.4y of UNIONGOLD history (38%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIONGOLD 2027 | ₹105 | ₹157 | ₹234 | +7% |
| UNIONGOLD 2028 | ₹95 | ₹168 | ₹296 | +15% |
| UNIONGOLD 2029 | ₹88 | ₹180 | ₹366 | +23% |
| UNIONGOLD 2030 | ₹85 | ₹193 | ₹436 | +32% |
| UNIONGOLD 2031 | ₹80 | ₹206 | ₹532 | +41% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UNIONGOLD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UNIONGOLD
- Union Gold ETF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹366.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹88.
UNIONGOLD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.4 years UNIONGOLD compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹105-₹234, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UNIONGOLD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UNIONGOLD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UNIONGOLD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UNIONGOLD price target & forecast page.
UNIONGOLD MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy UNIONGOLD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 28.94% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the UNIONGOLD MTF page.
About Union Gold ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Union Gold ETF (UNIONGOLD) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the UNIONGOLD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Union Gold ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UNIONGOLD analysis, FAQs
Is Union Gold ETF (UNIONGOLD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Union Gold ETF (UNIONGOLD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UNIONGOLD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for UNIONGOLD are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the UNIONGOLD share price target for 2031?
UNIONGOLD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹206, with an 80% range of ₹80-₹532 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UNIONGOLD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UNIONGOLD reaching ₹293 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for UNIONGOLD?
Union Gold ETF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in UNIONGOLD?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.