UNOMINDA
Uno Minda
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is UNOMINDA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) trades at ₹1,117,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 19.4%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
UNOMINDA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is UNOMINDA overvalued? UNOMINDA P/E vs its sector
UNOMINDA's P/E of 52.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.24% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
UNOMINDA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of UNOMINDA history (2%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNOMINDA 2027 | ₹668 | ₹1,064 | ₹1,692 | -5% |
| UNOMINDA 2028 | ₹519 | ₹1,011 | ₹1,947 | -9% |
| UNOMINDA 2029 | ₹427 | ₹964 | ₹2,145 | -14% |
| UNOMINDA 2030 | ₹357 | ₹909 | ₹2,320 | -19% |
| UNOMINDA 2031 | ₹307 | ₹867 | ₹2,436 | -22% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UNOMINDA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UNOMINDA
- High return on equity (19.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (19.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,145.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 52.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 9.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹427.
UNOMINDA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years UNOMINDA compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹668–₹1,692, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UNOMINDA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UNOMINDA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UNOMINDA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UNOMINDA price target & forecast page.
UNOMINDA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. UNOMINDA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
UNOMINDA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy UNOMINDA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.8% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.1% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.0% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the UNOMINDA MTF page.
UNOMINDA vs peers,sector comparison
About Uno Minda: sector, index & market-cap context
Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹64,356 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the UNOMINDA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Uno Minda's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UNOMINDA analysis, FAQs
Is Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Uno Minda (UNOMINDA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of 19.4%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UNOMINDA overvalued or undervalued?
UNOMINDA trades at 52.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the UNOMINDA share price target for 2031?
UNOMINDA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹867, with an 80% range of ₹307–₹2,436 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UNOMINDA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UNOMINDA reaching ₹2,231 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.
What is the bull case for UNOMINDA?
High return on equity (19.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (19.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in UNOMINDA?
A rich 52.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.