URBANCO
URBAN COMPANY LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is URBANCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) trades at ₹137,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.
On the numbers, URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.9× earnings, ROE of -12.0%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
URBANCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is URBANCO overvalued? URBANCO P/E vs its sector
URBANCO's P/E of 13.9× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers.
URBANCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.7y of URBANCO history (-33%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| URBANCO 2027 | ₹48 | ₹84 | ₹150 | -35% |
| URBANCO 2028 | ₹25 | ₹55 | ₹124 | -58% |
| URBANCO 2029 | ₹14 | ₹35 | ₹97 | -73% |
| URBANCO 2030 | ₹7 | ₹23 | ₹73 | -82% |
| URBANCO 2031 | ₹4 | ₹15 | ₹54 | -88% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability URBANCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for URBANCO
- Trades at just 13.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹97.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹14.
URBANCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.7 years URBANCO compounded at -33%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹48–₹150, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
URBANCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
URBANCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds URBANCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the URBANCO price target & forecast page.
URBANCO Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. URBANCO scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
URBANCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy URBANCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the URBANCO MTF page.
URBANCO vs peers,sector comparison
About URBAN COMPANY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,141 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the URBANCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of URBAN COMPANY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
URBANCO analysis, FAQs
Is URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, URBAN COMPANY LIMITED (URBANCO) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.9× earnings, ROE of -12.0%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is URBANCO overvalued or undervalued?
URBANCO trades at 13.9× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the URBANCO share price target for 2031?
URBANCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹15, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹54 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability URBANCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of URBANCO reaching ₹260 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for URBANCO?
Trades at just 13.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
What are the risks in URBANCO?
A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.