Case study

URJA

Urja Global Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model +5.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

Urja Global Limited (URJA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is URJA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Urja Global Limited (URJA) trades at ₹10,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Urja Global Limited (URJA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 364.0× earnings, ROE of 0.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

URJA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹517 Cr
Current price
₹10
P/E ratio
364.0×
P/B ratio
2.93×
Book value
₹3
ROCE
1.3%
ROE
0.8%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How URJA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for URJA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is URJA overvalued? URJA P/E vs peers

URJA trades at 364.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

URJA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.2y of URJA history (23%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
URJA 2027₹6₹10₹17+6%
URJA 2028₹5₹11₹22+12%
URJA 2029₹5₹12₹27+18%
URJA 2030₹5₹12₹33+25%
URJA 2031₹4₹13₹40+32%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability URJA goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹20 within 5 years

The bull case for URJA

  • Urja Global Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹27.

The bear case & risks

  • URJA's P/E of 364.0x is lower than 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • URJA's return on equity of 0.8% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • URJA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5.

URJA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.2 years URJA compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6-₹17, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

URJA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.2 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.6%
80% range₹6-₹17
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.9%
80% range₹5-₹27
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.5%
80% range₹4-₹40
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)31%

URJA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
URJA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds URJA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the URJA price target & forecast page.

URJA Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. URJA scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

URJA MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy URJA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST50.00%2.0×

Compare every broker on the URJA MTF page.

About Urja Global Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Urja Global Limited (URJA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹517 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the URJA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Urja Global Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

URJA analysis, FAQs

Is Urja Global Limited (URJA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Urja Global Limited (URJA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 364.0× earnings, ROE of 0.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is URJA overvalued or undervalued?

URJA trades at 364.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the URJA share price target for 2031?

URJA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹13, with an 80% range of ₹4-₹40 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability URJA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of URJA reaching ₹20 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for URJA?

Urja Global Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in URJA?

URJA's P/E of 364.0x is lower than 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. URJA's return on equity of 0.8% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. URJA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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