VESUVIUS
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VESUVIUS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) trades at ₹450,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 35.1× earnings, ROE of 15.0%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VESUVIUS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VESUVIUS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VESUVIUS's market cap of 9,115 Cr ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's book value of ₹82 ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's promoter holding of 55.6% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 26.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's 3-year revenue growth of 16.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is VESUVIUS overvalued? VESUVIUS P/E vs peers
VESUVIUS trades at 35.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VESUVIUS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VESUVIUS history (15%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VESUVIUS 2027 | ₹299 | ₹478 | ₹762 | +6% |
| VESUVIUS 2028 | ₹265 | ₹508 | ₹974 | +13% |
| VESUVIUS 2029 | ₹242 | ₹540 | ₹1,205 | +20% |
| VESUVIUS 2030 | ₹232 | ₹574 | ₹1,420 | +28% |
| VESUVIUS 2031 | ₹222 | ₹611 | ₹1,677 | +36% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VESUVIUS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VESUVIUS
- VESUVIUS's return on equity of 15.0% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VESUVIUS's return on capital employed of 21.3% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,205.
The bear case & risks
- VESUVIUS's P/E of 35.0x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹242.
VESUVIUS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years VESUVIUS compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹299-₹762, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VESUVIUS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VESUVIUS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VESUVIUS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VESUVIUS price target & forecast page.
VESUVIUS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VESUVIUS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
VESUVIUS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VESUVIUS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.23% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.36% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 31.23% | 3.2× |
| Paytm Money | 31.52% | 3.2× |
| Pocketful | 31.66% | 3.2× |
| Fyers | 32.26% | 3.1× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 31.23% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 38.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 31.34% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the VESUVIUS MTF page.
About VESUVIUS INDIA LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,154 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VESUVIUS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VESUVIUS INDIA LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VESUVIUS analysis, FAQs
Is VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) a good buy?
On the numbers, VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 35.1× earnings, ROE of 15.0%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VESUVIUS overvalued or undervalued?
VESUVIUS trades at 35.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VESUVIUS share price target for 2031?
VESUVIUS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹611, with an 80% range of ₹222-₹1,677 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VESUVIUS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VESUVIUS reaching ₹898 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for VESUVIUS?
VESUVIUS's return on equity of 15.0% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VESUVIUS's return on capital employed of 21.3% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in VESUVIUS?
VESUVIUS's P/E of 35.0x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.