VESUVIUS
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VESUVIUS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VESUVIUS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VESUVIUS history (-7%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VESUVIUS 2027 | ₹256 | ₹408 | ₹646 | -12% |
| VESUVIUS 2028 | ₹183 | ₹354 | ₹681 | -24% |
| VESUVIUS 2029 | ₹139 | ₹312 | ₹697 | -33% |
| VESUVIUS 2030 | ₹107 | ₹273 | ₹694 | -41% |
| VESUVIUS 2031 | ₹84 | ₹236 | ₹680 | -49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VESUVIUS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VESUVIUS
- VESUVIUS INDIA LTD is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹697.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹139.
VESUVIUS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years VESUVIUS compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹256–₹646, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VESUVIUS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VESUVIUS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VESUVIUS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VESUVIUS price target & forecast page.
VESUVIUS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VESUVIUS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.1% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.1% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the VESUVIUS MTF page.
VESUVIUS vs peers,sector comparison
About VESUVIUS INDIA LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) is an NSE-listed company.
How the VESUVIUS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VESUVIUS INDIA LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VESUVIUS analysis, FAQs
Is VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) a good buy?
On the numbers, VESUVIUS INDIA LTD (VESUVIUS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VESUVIUS overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for VESUVIUS are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the VESUVIUS share price target for 2031?
VESUVIUS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹236, with an 80% range of ₹84–₹680 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VESUVIUS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VESUVIUS reaching ₹930 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.
What is the bull case for VESUVIUS?
VESUVIUS INDIA LTD is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in VESUVIUS?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.