VGUARD
V-Guard Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VGUARD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) trades at ₹310,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.
On the numbers, V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 35.6× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VGUARD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VGUARD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VGUARD's market cap of 13,966 Cr ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's book value of ₹54 ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's promoter holding of 53.2% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 20.0% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07x is lower than 82% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is VGUARD overvalued? VGUARD P/E vs peers
VGUARD trades at 35.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VGUARD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VGUARD history (10%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGUARD 2027 | ₹244 | ₹344 | ₹485 | +8% |
| VGUARD 2028 | ₹227 | ₹370 | ₹605 | +16% |
| VGUARD 2029 | ₹218 | ₹399 | ₹729 | +25% |
| VGUARD 2030 | ₹214 | ₹429 | ₹861 | +34% |
| VGUARD 2031 | ₹214 | ₹462 | ₹997 | +44% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VGUARD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VGUARD
- VGUARD's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VGUARD's return on capital employed of 18.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹344 (+8%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹729.
The bear case & risks
- VGUARD's P/E of 36.8x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹218.
VGUARD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years VGUARD compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹244-₹485, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VGUARD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VGUARD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VGUARD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VGUARD price target & forecast page.
VGUARD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VGUARD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
VGUARD MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VGUARD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 27.60% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.62% | 3.6× |
| Dhan | 27.60% | 3.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 27.62% | 3.6× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 27.43% | 3.6× |
| Fyers | 27.78% | 3.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 27.60% | 3.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Share India | 27.54% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the VGUARD MTF page.
About V-Guard Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,542 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VGUARD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of V-Guard Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VGUARD analysis, FAQs
Is V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) a good buy?
On the numbers, V-Guard Industries Limited (VGUARD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 35.6× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VGUARD overvalued or undervalued?
VGUARD trades at 35.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VGUARD share price target for 2031?
VGUARD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹462, with an 80% range of ₹214-₹997 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VGUARD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VGUARD reaching ₹639 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for VGUARD?
VGUARD's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VGUARD's return on capital employed of 18.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹344 (+8%).
What are the risks in VGUARD?
VGUARD's P/E of 36.8x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.