VGUARD
V-Guard Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
V-Guard Industries (VGUARD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VGUARD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, V-Guard Industries (VGUARD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VGUARD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VGUARD history (-15%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGUARD 2027 | ₹182 | ₹258 | ₹362 | -17% |
| VGUARD 2028 | ₹132 | ₹213 | ₹348 | -32% |
| VGUARD 2029 | ₹98 | ₹176 | ₹318 | -43% |
| VGUARD 2030 | ₹74 | ₹146 | ₹291 | -53% |
| VGUARD 2031 | ₹57 | ₹122 | ₹262 | -61% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VGUARD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VGUARD
- V-Guard Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹318.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹98.
VGUARD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years VGUARD compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹182–₹362, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VGUARD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VGUARD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VGUARD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VGUARD price target & forecast page.
VGUARD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VGUARD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 27.6% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 27.6% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the VGUARD MTF page.
VGUARD vs peers,sector comparison
About V-Guard Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
V-Guard Industries (VGUARD) is an NSE-listed company.
How the VGUARD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of V-Guard Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VGUARD analysis, FAQs
Is V-Guard Industries (VGUARD) a good buy?
On the numbers, V-Guard Industries (VGUARD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VGUARD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for VGUARD are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the VGUARD share price target for 2031?
VGUARD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹122, with an 80% range of ₹57–₹262 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VGUARD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VGUARD reaching ₹623 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for VGUARD?
V-Guard Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in VGUARD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.