VINATIORGA
Vinati Organics Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VINATIORGA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) trades at ₹1,328,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.
On the numbers, Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 14.9%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VINATIORGA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VINATIORGA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VINATIORGA's market cap of 13,735 Cr ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VINATIORGA's book value of ₹305 ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VINATIORGA's promoter holding of 74.3% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VINATIORGA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 2.0% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VINATIORGA's 3-year revenue growth of 3.0% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for VINATIORGA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is VINATIORGA overvalued? VINATIORGA P/E vs peers
VINATIORGA trades at 30.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VINATIORGA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VINATIORGA history (16%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VINATIORGA 2027 | ₹1,022 | ₹1,458 | ₹2,080 | +10% |
| VINATIORGA 2028 | ₹984 | ₹1,604 | ₹2,615 | +21% |
| VINATIORGA 2029 | ₹973 | ₹1,765 | ₹3,203 | +33% |
| VINATIORGA 2030 | ₹973 | ₹1,942 | ₹3,879 | +47% |
| VINATIORGA 2031 | ₹983 | ₹2,137 | ₹4,647 | +61% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VINATIORGA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VINATIORGA
- VINATIORGA's return on equity of 14.9% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VINATIORGA's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,458 (+10%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,203.
The bear case & risks
- VINATIORGA's P/E of 30.6x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹973.
VINATIORGA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years VINATIORGA compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,022-₹2,080, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VINATIORGA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VINATIORGA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VINATIORGA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VINATIORGA price target & forecast page.
VINATIORGA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VINATIORGA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
VINATIORGA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VINATIORGA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 27.59% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.64% | 3.6× |
| Dhan | 27.59% | 3.6× |
| Paytm Money | 28.11% | 3.6× |
| Pocketful | 27.85% | 3.6× |
| Fyers | 27.78% | 3.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 27.59% | 3.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Share India | 27.63% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the VINATIORGA MTF page.
About Vinati Organics Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,742 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VINATIORGA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Vinati Organics Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VINATIORGA analysis, FAQs
Is Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Vinati Organics Limited (VINATIORGA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 14.9%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VINATIORGA overvalued or undervalued?
VINATIORGA trades at 30.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VINATIORGA share price target for 2031?
VINATIORGA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,137, with an 80% range of ₹983-₹4,647 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VINATIORGA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VINATIORGA reaching ₹2,650 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.
What is the bull case for VINATIORGA?
VINATIORGA's return on equity of 14.9% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VINATIORGA's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,458 (+10%).
What are the risks in VINATIORGA?
VINATIORGA's P/E of 30.6x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.