Case study

VINCOFE

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited

Mixed signals1y model +4.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

51Score

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is VINCOFE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) trades at ₹155,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

VINCOFE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,262 Cr
Current price
₹155
P/E ratio
28.7×
P/B ratio
3.96×
Book value
₹39
Dividend yield
0.06%
ROCE
18.2%
ROE
16.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How VINCOFE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is VINCOFE overvalued? VINCOFE P/E vs peers

VINCOFE trades at 28.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

VINCOFE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 6.9y of VINCOFE history (43%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
VINCOFE 2027₹89₹155₹270+5%
VINCOFE 2028₹74₹162₹357+9%
VINCOFE 2029₹64₹170₹451+14%
VINCOFE 2030₹59₹178₹537+20%
VINCOFE 2031₹54₹186₹642+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability VINCOFE goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹297 within 5 years

The bull case for VINCOFE

  • VINCOFE's return on equity of 16.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • VINCOFE's return on capital employed of 18.2% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹451.

The bear case & risks

  • VINCOFE's P/E of 27.4x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹64.

VINCOFE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 6.9 years VINCOFE compounded at 43%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹89-₹270, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

VINCOFE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 6.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹89-₹270
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.4%
80% range₹64-₹451
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.2%
80% range₹54-₹642
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)31%

VINCOFE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
VINCOFE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds VINCOFE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the VINCOFE price target & forecast page.

VINCOFE Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VINCOFE scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

VINCOFE MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VINCOFE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha34.60%2.9×
Groww34.70%2.9×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money37.78%2.6×
Pocketful34.75%2.9×
FyersCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Share India34.68%2.9×

Compare every broker on the VINCOFE MTF page.

About Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,262 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the VINCOFE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

VINCOFE analysis, FAQs

Is Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is VINCOFE overvalued or undervalued?

VINCOFE trades at 28.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the VINCOFE share price target for 2031?

VINCOFE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹186, with an 80% range of ₹54-₹642 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability VINCOFE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of VINCOFE reaching ₹297 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for VINCOFE?

VINCOFE's return on equity of 16.6% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VINCOFE's return on capital employed of 18.2% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in VINCOFE?

VINCOFE's P/E of 27.4x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on VINCOFE