Case study

VINYLINDIA

VINYLINDIA

Mixed signals1y model +1.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is VINYLINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) trades at ₹243,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.0× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

VINYLINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹448 Cr
Current price
₹243
P/E ratio
24.0×
P/B ratio
3.42×
Book value
₹71
Dividend yield
2.88%
ROCE
14.9%
ROE
9.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How VINYLINDIA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for VINYLINDIA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is VINYLINDIA overvalued? VINYLINDIA P/E vs peers

VINYLINDIA trades at 24.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

VINYLINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VINYLINDIA history (13%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
VINYLINDIA 2027₹147₹246₹412+1%
VINYLINDIA 2028₹119₹249₹520+2%
VINYLINDIA 2029₹103₹252₹616+4%
VINYLINDIA 2030₹91₹255₹714+5%
VINYLINDIA 2031₹81₹258₹823+6%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability VINYLINDIA goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹485 within 5 years

The bull case for VINYLINDIA

  • VINYLINDIA's P/E of 23.8x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • VINYLINDIA's dividend yield of 2.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹616.

The bear case & risks

  • VINYLINDIA's return on equity of 9.8% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹103.

VINYLINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years VINYLINDIA compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹147-₹412, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

VINYLINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.2%
80% range₹147-₹412
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹103-₹616
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.3%
80% range₹81-₹823
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)24%

VINYLINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
VINYLINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds VINYLINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the VINYLINDIA price target & forecast page.

VINYLINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VINYLINDIA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

VINYLINDIA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VINYLINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST60.00%1.7×

Compare every broker on the VINYLINDIA MTF page.

About VINYLINDIA: sector, index & market-cap context

VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹448 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the VINYLINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VINYLINDIA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

VINYLINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, VINYLINDIA (VINYLINDIA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.0× earnings, ROE of 9.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is VINYLINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

VINYLINDIA trades at 24.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the VINYLINDIA share price target for 2031?

VINYLINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹258, with an 80% range of ₹81-₹823 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability VINYLINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of VINYLINDIA reaching ₹485 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for VINYLINDIA?

VINYLINDIA's P/E of 23.8x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VINYLINDIA's dividend yield of 2.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in VINYLINDIA?

VINYLINDIA's return on equity of 9.8% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on VINYLINDIA