VMART
V-Mart Retail Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VMART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) trades at ₹807,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 46.3× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VMART fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VMART ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VMART's market cap of 6,361 Cr ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMART's book value of ₹120 ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMART's promoter holding of 44.2% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMART's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 144.0% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMART's 3-year revenue growth of 15.0% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMART's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is VMART overvalued? VMART P/E vs peers
VMART trades at 46.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VMART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VMART history (19%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMART 2027 | ₹496 | ₹829 | ₹1,385 | +4% |
| VMART 2028 | ₹413 | ₹859 | ₹1,790 | +8% |
| VMART 2029 | ₹363 | ₹891 | ₹2,188 | +11% |
| VMART 2030 | ₹331 | ₹924 | ₹2,579 | +16% |
| VMART 2031 | ₹305 | ₹958 | ₹3,014 | +20% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VMART goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VMART
- VMART's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,188.
The bear case & risks
- VMART's P/E of 45.9x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹363.
VMART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years VMART compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹496-₹1,385, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VMART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VMART price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VMART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VMART price target & forecast page.
VMART Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VMART scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
VMART MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VMART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 33.32% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 33.39% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 33.32% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 34.25% | 2.9× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 33.31% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 33.32% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share India | 33.35% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the VMART MTF page.
About V-Mart Retail Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,416 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VMART Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of V-Mart Retail Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VMART analysis, FAQs
Is V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) a good buy?
On the numbers, V-Mart Retail Limited (VMART) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 46.3× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VMART overvalued or undervalued?
VMART trades at 46.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VMART share price target for 2031?
VMART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹958, with an 80% range of ₹305-₹3,014 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VMART doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VMART reaching ₹1,599 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for VMART?
VMART's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in VMART?
VMART's P/E of 45.9x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.