VMART
VMart Retail
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VMart Retail (VMART) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VMART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, VMart Retail (VMART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VMART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VMART history (6%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMART 2027 | ₹470 | ₹787 | ₹1,326 | -1% |
| VMART 2028 | ₹375 | ₹772 | ₹1,613 | -3% |
| VMART 2029 | ₹309 | ₹765 | ₹1,831 | -4% |
| VMART 2030 | ₹263 | ₹748 | ₹2,083 | -6% |
| VMART 2031 | ₹224 | ₹729 | ₹2,324 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VMART goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VMART
- VMart Retail is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,831.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹309.
VMART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years VMART compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹470–₹1,326, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VMART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VMART price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VMART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VMART price target & forecast page.
VMART MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VMART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.7% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.7% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the VMART MTF page.
VMART vs peers,sector comparison
About VMart Retail: sector, index & market-cap context
VMart Retail (VMART) is an NSE-listed company.
How the VMART Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VMart Retail's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VMART analysis, FAQs
Is VMart Retail (VMART) a good buy?
On the numbers, VMart Retail (VMART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VMART overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for VMART are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the VMART share price target for 2031?
VMART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹729, with an 80% range of ₹224–₹2,324 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VMART doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VMART reaching ₹1,596 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.
What is the bull case for VMART?
VMart Retail is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in VMART?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.