VMM
VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VMM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) trades at ₹111,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 58.4× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VMM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VMM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VMM's market cap of 50,928 Cr ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMM's book value of ₹16 ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMM's promoter holding of 40.1% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 39.0% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMM's 3-year revenue growth of 19.0% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VMM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is VMM overvalued? VMM P/E vs peers
VMM trades at 58.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VMM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of VMM history (-2%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMM 2027 | ₹73 | ₹114 | ₹178 | +5% |
| VMM 2028 | ₹64 | ₹120 | ₹224 | +10% |
| VMM 2029 | ₹59 | ₹126 | ₹266 | +16% |
| VMM 2030 | ₹55 | ₹132 | ₹319 | +21% |
| VMM 2031 | ₹52 | ₹139 | ₹370 | +28% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VMM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VMM
- VMM's return on equity of 12.2% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹266.
The bear case & risks
- VMM's P/E of 57.1x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
VMM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.6 years VMM compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹73-₹178, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VMM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VMM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VMM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VMM price target & forecast page.
VMM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VMM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
VMM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VMM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.83% | 3.9× |
| Zerodha | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Groww | 25.03% | 4.0× |
| Dhan | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 23.34% | 4.3× |
| Pocketful | 29.44% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.30% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 29.00% | 3.4× |
| Share India | 29.40% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the VMM MTF page.
About VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹52,113 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VMM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VMM analysis, FAQs
Is VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) a good buy?
On the numbers, VISHAL MEGA MART LIMITED (VMM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 58.4× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VMM overvalued or undervalued?
VMM trades at 58.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VMM share price target for 2031?
VMM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹139, with an 80% range of ₹52-₹370 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VMM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VMM reaching ₹217 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for VMM?
VMM's return on equity of 12.2% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in VMM?
VMM's P/E of 57.1x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.