VRLLOG
VRL Logistics
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VRL Logistics (VRLLOG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VRLLOG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, VRL Logistics (VRLLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VRLLOG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VRLLOG history (-9%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRLLOG 2027 | ₹143 | ₹210 | ₹313 | -12% |
| VRLLOG 2028 | ₹106 | ₹186 | ₹323 | -23% |
| VRLLOG 2029 | ₹83 | ₹163 | ₹320 | -32% |
| VRLLOG 2030 | ₹66 | ₹143 | ₹316 | -41% |
| VRLLOG 2031 | ₹52 | ₹125 | ₹299 | -48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VRLLOG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VRLLOG
- VRL Logistics is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹320.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹83.
VRLLOG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years VRLLOG compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹143–₹313, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VRLLOG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VRLLOG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VRLLOG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VRLLOG price target & forecast page.
VRLLOG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VRLLOG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.1% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.1% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the VRLLOG MTF page.
VRLLOG vs peers,sector comparison
About VRL Logistics: sector, index & market-cap context
VRL Logistics (VRLLOG) is an NSE-listed company.
How the VRLLOG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VRL Logistics's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VRLLOG analysis, FAQs
Is VRL Logistics (VRLLOG) a good buy?
On the numbers, VRL Logistics (VRLLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VRLLOG overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for VRLLOG are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the VRLLOG share price target for 2031?
VRLLOG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹125, with an 80% range of ₹52–₹299 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VRLLOG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VRLLOG reaching ₹480 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for VRLLOG?
VRL Logistics is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in VRLLOG?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.