VRLLOG
VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VRLLOG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) trades at ₹279,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.
On the numbers, VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.3× earnings, ROE of 21.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VRLLOG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How VRLLOG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- VRLLOG's market cap of 4,922 Cr ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's book value of ₹65 ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's promoter holding of 60.2% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -9.0% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's 3-year revenue growth of 7.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is VRLLOG overvalued? VRLLOG P/E vs peers
VRLLOG trades at 18.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
VRLLOG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VRLLOG history (6%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRLLOG 2027 | ₹196 | ₹293 | ₹439 | +4% |
| VRLLOG 2028 | ₹174 | ₹306 | ₹540 | +9% |
| VRLLOG 2029 | ₹162 | ₹319 | ₹630 | +13% |
| VRLLOG 2030 | ₹150 | ₹333 | ₹737 | +18% |
| VRLLOG 2031 | ₹142 | ₹347 | ₹851 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VRLLOG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VRLLOG
- VRLLOG's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's return on equity of 21.7% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- VRLLOG's dividend yield of 1.8% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹630.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹162.
VRLLOG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years VRLLOG compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹196-₹439, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VRLLOG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VRLLOG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VRLLOG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VRLLOG price target & forecast page.
VRLLOG Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VRLLOG scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
VRLLOG MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VRLLOG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 29.50% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.55% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 29.50% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 35.55% | 2.8× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 28.87% | 3.5× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.50% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Share India | 29.50% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the VRLLOG MTF page.
About VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,880 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the VRLLOG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VRLLOG analysis, FAQs
Is VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) a good buy?
On the numbers, VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED (VRLLOG) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.3× earnings, ROE of 21.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VRLLOG overvalued or undervalued?
VRLLOG trades at 18.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the VRLLOG share price target for 2031?
VRLLOG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹347, with an 80% range of ₹142-₹851 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VRLLOG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VRLLOG reaching ₹563 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for VRLLOG?
VRLLOG's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VRLLOG's return on equity of 21.7% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. VRLLOG's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in VRLLOG?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.