WABAG
VA Tech Wabag
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VA Tech Wabag (WABAG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is WABAG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, VA Tech Wabag (WABAG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
WABAG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of WABAG history (26%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WABAG 2027 | ₹1,368 | ₹2,355 | ₹4,059 | +19% |
| WABAG 2028 | ₹1,303 | ₹2,789 | ₹6,057 | +41% |
| WABAG 2029 | ₹1,303 | ₹3,344 | ₹8,626 | +69% |
| WABAG 2030 | ₹1,321 | ₹3,973 | ₹11,872 | +100% |
| WABAG 2031 | ₹1,364 | ₹4,725 | ₹15,821 | +138% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability WABAG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for WABAG
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,355 (+19%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,626.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,303.
WABAG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years WABAG compounded at 26%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,368–₹4,059, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
WABAG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
WABAG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds WABAG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the WABAG price target & forecast page.
WABAG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy WABAG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the WABAG MTF page.
WABAG vs peers,sector comparison
About VA Tech Wabag: sector, index & market-cap context
VA Tech Wabag (WABAG) is an NSE-listed company.
How the WABAG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VA Tech Wabag's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
WABAG analysis, FAQs
Is VA Tech Wabag (WABAG) a good buy?
On the numbers, VA Tech Wabag (WABAG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is WABAG overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for WABAG are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the WABAG share price target for 2031?
WABAG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,725, with an 80% range of ₹1,364–₹15,821 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability WABAG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of WABAG reaching ₹3,967 (2×) within 5 years is 58%.
What is the bull case for WABAG?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,355 (+19%).
What are the risks in WABAG?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.