Case study

WALCHANNAG

Walchandnagar Industries Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model -5.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is WALCHANNAG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) trades at ₹231,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of -4.4%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

WALCHANNAG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,567 Cr
Current price
₹231
P/E ratio
52.9×
P/B ratio
4.37×
Book value
₹53
ROCE
4.2%
ROE
-4.4%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How WALCHANNAG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is WALCHANNAG overvalued? WALCHANNAG P/E vs peers

WALCHANNAG trades at 52.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

WALCHANNAG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of WALCHANNAG history (4%/yr drift, 59%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
WALCHANNAG 2027₹104₹218₹460-5%
WALCHANNAG 2028₹71₹207₹604-10%
WALCHANNAG 2029₹54₹196₹714-15%
WALCHANNAG 2030₹42₹185₹826-20%
WALCHANNAG 2031₹33₹175₹938-24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability WALCHANNAG goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
42%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹461 within 5 years

The bull case for WALCHANNAG

  • Walchandnagar Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹714.

The bear case & risks

  • WALCHANNAG's P/E of 52.9x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • WALCHANNAG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹54.

WALCHANNAG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years WALCHANNAG compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 59%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹104-₹460, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

WALCHANNAG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.3%
80% range₹104-₹460
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.2%
80% range₹54-₹714
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.0%
80% range₹33-₹938
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)23%

WALCHANNAG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
WALCHANNAG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds WALCHANNAG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the WALCHANNAG price target & forecast page.

WALCHANNAG Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. WALCHANNAG scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

WALCHANNAG MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy WALCHANNAG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Groww42.63%2.3×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST42.57%2.3×

Compare every broker on the WALCHANNAG MTF page.

About Walchandnagar Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,567 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the WALCHANNAG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Walchandnagar Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

WALCHANNAG analysis, FAQs

Is Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Walchandnagar Industries Limited (WALCHANNAG) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 52.9× earnings, ROE of -4.4%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is WALCHANNAG overvalued or undervalued?

WALCHANNAG trades at 52.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the WALCHANNAG share price target for 2031?

WALCHANNAG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹175, with an 80% range of ₹33-₹938 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability WALCHANNAG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of WALCHANNAG reaching ₹461 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for WALCHANNAG?

Walchandnagar Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in WALCHANNAG?

WALCHANNAG's P/E of 52.9x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. WALCHANNAG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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