WELCORP
Welspun Corp
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Welspun Corp (WELCORP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is WELCORP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Welspun Corp (WELCORP) trades at ₹1,404,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.
On the numbers, Welspun Corp (WELCORP) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 19.4%, a 88% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
WELCORP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is WELCORP overvalued? WELCORP P/E vs its sector
WELCORP's P/E of 23.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
WELCORP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of WELCORP history (52%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELCORP 2027 | ₹1,378 | ₹2,231 | ₹3,632 | +57% |
| WELCORP 2028 | ₹1,790 | ₹3,480 | ₹6,968 | +144% |
| WELCORP 2029 | ₹2,372 | ₹5,421 | ₹12,822 | +281% |
| WELCORP 2030 | ₹3,262 | ₹8,551 | ₹22,560 | +501% |
| WELCORP 2031 | ₹4,538 | ₹13,295 | ₹39,349 | +834% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability WELCORP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for WELCORP
- A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (19.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (22.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 88% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,231 (+57%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,822.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,372.
WELCORP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years WELCORP compounded at 52%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,378–₹3,632, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
WELCORP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
WELCORP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds WELCORP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the WELCORP price target & forecast page.
WELCORP Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. WELCORP scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
WELCORP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy WELCORP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the WELCORP MTF page.
WELCORP vs peers,sector comparison
About Welspun Corp: sector, index & market-cap context
Welspun Corp (WELCORP) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹37,112 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the WELCORP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Welspun Corp's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
WELCORP analysis, FAQs
Is Welspun Corp (WELCORP) a good buy?
On the numbers, Welspun Corp (WELCORP) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 19.4%, a 88% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is WELCORP overvalued or undervalued?
WELCORP trades at 23.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the WELCORP share price target for 2031?
WELCORP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹13,295, with an 80% range of ₹4,538–₹39,349 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability WELCORP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of WELCORP reaching ₹2,847 (2×) within 5 years is 97%.
What is the bull case for WELCORP?
A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (19.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (22.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in WELCORP?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.