Case study

WONDERLA

Wonderla Holidays Limited

Tread carefully1y model +6.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is WONDERLA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) trades at ₹503,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 30.1× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

WONDERLA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,185 Cr
Current price
₹503
P/E ratio
30.1×
P/B ratio
1.78×
Book value
₹283
Dividend yield
0.40%
ROCE
6.2%
ROE
4.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How WONDERLA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for WONDERLA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is WONDERLA overvalued? WONDERLA P/E vs peers

WONDERLA trades at 30.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

WONDERLA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of WONDERLA history (2%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
WONDERLA 2027₹355₹526₹779+7%
WONDERLA 2028₹327₹562₹963+14%
WONDERLA 2029₹308₹599₹1,168+22%
WONDERLA 2030₹296₹640₹1,384+30%
WONDERLA 2031₹289₹682₹1,613+38%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability WONDERLA goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹986 within 5 years

The bull case for WONDERLA

  • Wonderla Holidays Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,168.

The bear case & risks

  • WONDERLA's P/E of 29.6x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • WONDERLA's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹308.

WONDERLA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years WONDERLA compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹355-₹779, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

WONDERLA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.7%
80% range₹355-₹779
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
21.5%
80% range₹308-₹1,168
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
38.4%
80% range₹289-₹1,613
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)29%

WONDERLA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
WONDERLA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds WONDERLA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the WONDERLA price target & forecast page.

WONDERLA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. WONDERLA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

WONDERLA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy WONDERLA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha29.38%3.4×
Groww40.00%2.5×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money29.38%3.4×
Pocketful29.44%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.38%3.4×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST29.14%3.4×

Compare every broker on the WONDERLA MTF page.

About Wonderla Holidays Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,185 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the WONDERLA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Wonderla Holidays Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

WONDERLA analysis, FAQs

Is Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Wonderla Holidays Limited (WONDERLA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 30.1× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is WONDERLA overvalued or undervalued?

WONDERLA trades at 30.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the WONDERLA share price target for 2031?

WONDERLA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹682, with an 80% range of ₹289-₹1,613 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability WONDERLA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of WONDERLA reaching ₹986 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for WONDERLA?

Wonderla Holidays Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in WONDERLA?

WONDERLA's P/E of 29.6x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. WONDERLA's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on WONDERLA