Case study

XPROINDIA

Xpro India Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model +2.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is XPROINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) trades at ₹1,112,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 79.4× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

XPROINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,594 Cr
Current price
₹1,112
P/E ratio
79.4×
P/B ratio
3.43×
Book value
₹324
Dividend yield
0.18%
ROCE
3.8%
ROE
2.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How XPROINDIA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for XPROINDIA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is XPROINDIA overvalued? XPROINDIA P/E vs peers

XPROINDIA trades at 79.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

XPROINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of XPROINDIA history (36%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
XPROINDIA 2027₹613₹1,129₹2,077+3%
XPROINDIA 2028₹489₹1,159₹2,748+6%
XPROINDIA 2029₹413₹1,191₹3,429+8%
XPROINDIA 2030₹361₹1,223₹4,145+11%
XPROINDIA 2031₹326₹1,256₹4,844+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability XPROINDIA goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,198 within 5 years

The bull case for XPROINDIA

  • Xpro India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,429.

The bear case & risks

  • XPROINDIA's P/E of 79.0x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • XPROINDIA's return on equity of 2.8% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹413.

XPROINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years XPROINDIA compounded at 36%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹613-₹2,077, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

XPROINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.7%
80% range₹613-₹2,077
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.4%
80% range₹413-₹3,429
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.3%
80% range₹326-₹4,844
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)29%

XPROINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
XPROINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds XPROINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the XPROINDIA price target & forecast page.

XPROINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. XPROINDIA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

XPROINDIA MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy XPROINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.35%2.6×
Zerodha38.31%2.6×
Groww38.41%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money53.41%1.9×
PocketfulCHEAPEST36.77%2.7×
Anand Rathi38.31%2.6×
Share India37.74%2.6×

Compare every broker on the XPROINDIA MTF page.

About Xpro India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,594 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the XPROINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Xpro India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

XPROINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Xpro India Limited (XPROINDIA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 79.4× earnings, ROE of 2.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is XPROINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

XPROINDIA trades at 79.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the XPROINDIA share price target for 2031?

XPROINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,256, with an 80% range of ₹326-₹4,844 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability XPROINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of XPROINDIA reaching ₹2,198 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for XPROINDIA?

Xpro India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in XPROINDIA?

XPROINDIA's P/E of 79.0x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. XPROINDIA's return on equity of 2.8% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on XPROINDIA