Case study

YASHO

YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model +4.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is YASHO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) trades at ₹4,153,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 86.8× earnings, ROE of 5.8%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

YASHO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,007 Cr
Current price
₹4,153
P/E ratio
86.8×
P/B ratio
11.29×
Book value
₹368
Dividend yield
0.01%
ROCE
8.9%
ROE
5.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How YASHO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is YASHO overvalued? YASHO P/E vs peers

YASHO trades at 86.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

YASHO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.2y of YASHO history (46%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
YASHO 2027₹2,310₹4,371₹8,271+5%
YASHO 2028₹1,878₹4,585₹11,192+10%
YASHO 2029₹1,616₹4,809₹14,312+15%
YASHO 2030₹1,428₹5,044₹17,823+21%
YASHO 2031₹1,308₹5,291₹21,391+27%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability YASHO goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹8,335 within 5 years

The bull case for YASHO

  • YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹14,312.

The bear case & risks

  • YASHO's P/E of 86.8x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 11.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • YASHO's return on equity of 5.8% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,616.

YASHO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.2 years YASHO compounded at 46%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,310-₹8,271, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

YASHO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.2 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹2,310-₹8,271
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.4%
80% range₹1,616-₹14,312
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)26%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
26.9%
80% range₹1,308-₹21,391
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)34%

YASHO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
YASHO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds YASHO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the YASHO price target & forecast page.

YASHO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. YASHO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

YASHO MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy YASHO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha40.74%2.5×
Groww40.87%2.4×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST38.72%2.6×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India40.16%2.5×

Compare every broker on the YASHO MTF page.

Which ace investors hold YASHO?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,007 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the YASHO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

YASHO analysis, FAQs

Is YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) a good buy?

On the numbers, YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED (YASHO) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 86.8× earnings, ROE of 5.8%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is YASHO overvalued or undervalued?

YASHO trades at 86.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the YASHO share price target for 2031?

YASHO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,291, with an 80% range of ₹1,308-₹21,391 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability YASHO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of YASHO reaching ₹8,335 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for YASHO?

YASHO INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in YASHO?

YASHO's P/E of 86.8x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. YASHO's return on equity of 5.8% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on YASHO