ZFCVINDIA
Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ZFCVINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) trades at ₹2,590,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 58.3× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ZFCVINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ZFCVINDIA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ZFCVINDIA's market cap of 30,013 Cr ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's book value of ₹324 ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's promoter holding of 60.0% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 17.0% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ZFCVINDIA overvalued? ZFCVINDIA P/E vs peers
ZFCVINDIA trades at 58.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ZFCVINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ZFCVINDIA history (10%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZFCVINDIA 2027 | ₹1,869 | ₹2,817 | ₹4,247 | +7% |
| ZFCVINDIA 2028 | ₹1,701 | ₹3,010 | ₹5,325 | +14% |
| ZFCVINDIA 2029 | ₹1,589 | ₹3,215 | ₹6,506 | +22% |
| ZFCVINDIA 2030 | ₹1,516 | ₹3,435 | ₹7,781 | +30% |
| ZFCVINDIA 2031 | ₹1,469 | ₹3,669 | ₹9,163 | +39% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ZFCVINDIA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ZFCVINDIA
- ZFCVINDIA's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ZFCVINDIA's return on capital employed of 19.4% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,506.
The bear case & risks
- ZFCVINDIA's P/E of 59.4x is lower than 21% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,589.
ZFCVINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ZFCVINDIA compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,869-₹4,247, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ZFCVINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ZFCVINDIA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ZFCVINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ZFCVINDIA price target & forecast page.
ZFCVINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ZFCVINDIA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ZFCVINDIA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ZFCVINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.11% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 30.12% | 3.3× |
| Groww | 30.16% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.12% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.12% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 30.16% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.20% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.12% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 33.00% | 3.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 30.03% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the ZFCVINDIA MTF page.
About Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹29,446 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ZFCVINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ZFCVINDIA analysis, FAQs
Is Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Zf Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 58.3× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ZFCVINDIA overvalued or undervalued?
ZFCVINDIA trades at 58.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ZFCVINDIA share price target for 2031?
ZFCVINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,669, with an 80% range of ₹1,469-₹9,163 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ZFCVINDIA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ZFCVINDIA reaching ₹5,274 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for ZFCVINDIA?
ZFCVINDIA's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ZFCVINDIA's return on capital employed of 19.4% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ZFCVINDIA?
ZFCVINDIA's P/E of 59.4x is lower than 21% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.