Case study

5PAISA

5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +4.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

31Score

5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is 5PAISA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) trades at ₹368,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.

On the numbers, 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 39.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

5PAISA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,723 Cr
Current price
₹368
P/E ratio
39.0×
P/B ratio
2.67×
Book value
₹138
ROCE
9.9%
ROE
7.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How 5PAISA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year profit (PAT) growth figure for 5PAISA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is 5PAISA overvalued? 5PAISA P/E vs peers

5PAISA trades at 39.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

5PAISA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.6y of 5PAISA history (5%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
5PAISA 2027₹235₹383₹625+4%
5PAISA 2028₹197₹399₹809+9%
5PAISA 2029₹176₹416₹987+13%
5PAISA 2030₹161₹434₹1,172+18%
5PAISA 2031₹152₹452₹1,351+23%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability 5PAISA goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹735 within 5 years

The bull case for 5PAISA

  • 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹987.

The bear case & risks

  • 5PAISA's P/E of 39.0x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • 5PAISA's return on equity of 7.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • 5PAISA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹176.

5PAISA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.6 years 5PAISA compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹235-₹625, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

5PAISA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.2%
80% range₹235-₹625
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.3%
80% range₹176-₹987
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
23.1%
80% range₹152-₹1,351
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)29%

5PAISA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
5PAISA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds 5PAISA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the 5PAISA price target & forecast page.

5PAISA Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. 5PAISA scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

5PAISA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy 5PAISA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.74%3.0×
Groww33.82%3.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful33.85%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.74%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India33.77%3.0×

Compare every broker on the 5PAISA MTF page.

About 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,723 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the 5PAISA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

5PAISA analysis, FAQs

Is 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) a good buy?

On the numbers, 5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED (5PAISA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 39.0× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is 5PAISA overvalued or undervalued?

5PAISA trades at 39.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the 5PAISA share price target for 2031?

5PAISA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹452, with an 80% range of ₹152-₹1,351 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability 5PAISA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of 5PAISA reaching ₹735 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for 5PAISA?

5PAISA CAPITAL LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in 5PAISA?

5PAISA's P/E of 39.0x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. 5PAISA's return on equity of 7.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. 5PAISA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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