AAVAS
AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AAVAS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) trades at ₹1,372,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 13.9%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AAVAS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AAVAS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AAVAS's market cap of 10,875 Cr ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AAVAS's book value of ₹477 ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AAVAS's promoter holding of 48.9% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AAVAS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 19.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AAVAS's 3-year revenue growth of 22.0% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for AAVAS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is AAVAS overvalued? AAVAS P/E vs peers
AAVAS trades at 22.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AAVAS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.7y of AAVAS history (7%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAVAS 2027 | ₹985 | ₹1,447 | ₹2,124 | +5% |
| AAVAS 2028 | ₹890 | ₹1,526 | ₹2,617 | +11% |
| AAVAS 2029 | ₹831 | ₹1,609 | ₹3,118 | +17% |
| AAVAS 2030 | ₹796 | ₹1,698 | ₹3,618 | +24% |
| AAVAS 2031 | ₹766 | ₹1,790 | ₹4,185 | +31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AAVAS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AAVAS
- AAVAS's P/E of 22.2x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AAVAS's return on equity of 13.9% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,118.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹831.
AAVAS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 7.7 years AAVAS compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹985-₹2,124, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AAVAS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AAVAS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AAVAS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AAVAS price target & forecast page.
AAVAS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AAVAS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
AAVAS MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AAVAS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.22% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 30.19% | 3.3× |
| Groww | 30.28% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.19% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.21% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 39.92% | 2.5× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 29.90% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.19% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 32.00% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 30.22% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the AAVAS MTF page.
About AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,875 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AAVAS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AAVAS analysis, FAQs
Is AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) a good buy?
On the numbers, AAVAS FINANCIERS LIMITED (AAVAS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 13.9%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AAVAS overvalued or undervalued?
AAVAS trades at 22.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AAVAS share price target for 2031?
AAVAS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,790, with an 80% range of ₹766-₹4,185 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AAVAS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AAVAS reaching ₹2,743 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for AAVAS?
AAVAS's P/E of 22.2x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AAVAS's return on equity of 13.9% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AAVAS?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.