CCCL
CCCL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CCCL (CCCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CCCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CCCL (CCCL) trades at ₹17,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, CCCL (CCCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.2× earnings, ROE of -4.3%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CCCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CCCL overvalued? CCCL P/E vs its sector
CCCL's P/E of 6.2× sits below the sector peer median of 14.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.
CCCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CCCL history (124%/yr drift, 156%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCCL 2027 | ₹2 | ₹18 | ₹130 | +5% |
| CCCL 2028 | ₹1 | ₹18 | ₹294 | +8% |
| CCCL 2029 | ₹1 | ₹19 | ₹564 | +10% |
| CCCL 2030 | ₹0 | ₹18 | ₹1,008 | +8% |
| CCCL 2031 | ₹0 | ₹19 | ₹1,724 | +10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CCCL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CCCL
- Trades at just 6.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹564.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (156%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1.
CCCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CCCL compounded at 124%/year with annualized volatility of 156%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2-₹130, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CCCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CCCL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CCCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CCCL price target & forecast page.
CCCL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CCCL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
CCCL vs peers,sector comparison
About CCCL: sector, index & market-cap context
CCCL (CCCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹772 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the CCCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CCCL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CCCL analysis, FAQs
Is CCCL (CCCL) a good buy?
On the numbers, CCCL (CCCL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.2× earnings, ROE of -4.3%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CCCL overvalued or undervalued?
CCCL trades at 6.2× earnings versus a peer median of 14.0×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the CCCL share price target for 2031?
CCCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹19, with an 80% range of ₹0-₹1,724 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CCCL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CCCL reaching ₹34 (2×) within 5 years is 43%.
What is the bull case for CCCL?
Trades at just 6.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
What are the risks in CCCL?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (156%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.