Case study

CREDITACC

Creditaccess Grameen

High-risk on the numbers1y model -9.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CREDITACC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) trades at ₹1,411,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CREDITACC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,624 Cr
Current price
₹1,411
P/E ratio
29.1×
P/B ratio
2.88×
Book value
₹490
ROCE
10.0%
ROE
10.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is CREDITACC overvalued? CREDITACC P/E vs its sector

CREDITACC's P/E of 29.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

CREDITACC P/E
29.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

CREDITACC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CREDITACC history (-0%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CREDITACC 2027₹719₹1,278₹2,247-9%
CREDITACC 2028₹527₹1,157₹2,555-18%
CREDITACC 2029₹399₹1,051₹2,836-25%
CREDITACC 2030₹310₹948₹2,938-33%
CREDITACC 2031₹247₹881₹3,023-37%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CREDITACC goes up, or doubles?

41%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
31%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
11%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,813 within 5 years

The bull case for CREDITACC

  • Creditaccess Grameen is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,836.

The bear case & risks

  • At 29.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹399.

CREDITACC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CREDITACC compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹719₹2,247, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CREDITACC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.1%
80% range₹719–₹2,247
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.3%
80% range₹399–₹2,836
P(price ↑)35%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
37.4%
80% range₹247–₹3,023
P(price ↑)31%
P(price 2×)11%

CREDITACC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CREDITACC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CREDITACC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CREDITACC price target & forecast page.

CREDITACC Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CREDITACC scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

CREDITACC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CREDITACC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST34.8%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.8%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST34.8%2.9×

Compare every broker on the CREDITACC MTF page.

CREDITACC vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CREDITACC (this stock)29.1×₹22,624 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Creditaccess Grameen: sector, index & market-cap context

Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,624 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the CREDITACC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Creditaccess Grameen's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CREDITACC analysis, FAQs

Is Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Creditaccess Grameen (CREDITACC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CREDITACC overvalued or undervalued?

CREDITACC trades at 29.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CREDITACC share price target for 2031?

CREDITACC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹881, with an 80% range of ₹247₹3,023 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CREDITACC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CREDITACC reaching ₹2,813 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.

What is the bull case for CREDITACC?

Creditaccess Grameen is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in CREDITACC?

At 29.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on CREDITACC