Case study

DEEDEV

DEEDEV

High-risk on the numbers1y model +25.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

DEEDEV (DEEDEV) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DEEDEV a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DEEDEV (DEEDEV) trades at ₹677,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, DEEDEV (DEEDEV) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 59.0× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DEEDEV fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,654 Cr
Current price
₹677
P/E ratio
59.0×
P/B ratio
5.25×
Book value
₹129
ROCE
10.9%
ROE
9.3%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is DEEDEV overvalued? DEEDEV P/E vs its sector

DEEDEV's P/E of 59.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

DEEDEV P/E
59.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

DEEDEV share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of DEEDEV history (38%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DEEDEV 2027₹444₹884₹1,769+26%
DEEDEV 2028₹426₹1,113₹3,019+58%
DEEDEV 2029₹442₹1,412₹4,702+101%
DEEDEV 2030₹471₹1,795₹7,188+155%
DEEDEV 2031₹497₹2,290₹10,313+226%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DEEDEV goes up, or doubles?

66%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
84%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
66%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,406 within 5 years

The bull case for DEEDEV

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹884 (+26%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,702.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 59.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹442.

DEEDEV volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years DEEDEV compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹444₹1,769, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DEEDEV price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
25.7%
80% range₹444–₹1,769
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)20%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
100.8%
80% range₹442–₹4,702
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)50%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
225.7%
80% range₹497–₹10,313
P(price ↑)84%
P(price 2×)66%

DEEDEV price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DEEDEV simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DEEDEV hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DEEDEV price target & forecast page.

DEEDEV Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. DEEDEV scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

DEEDEV MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEEDEV with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.9%2.5×

Compare every broker on the DEEDEV MTF page.

DEEDEV vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DEEDEV (this stock)59.0×₹4,654 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About DEEDEV: sector, index & market-cap context

DEEDEV (DEEDEV) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,654 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the DEEDEV Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DEEDEV's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DEEDEV analysis, FAQs

Is DEEDEV (DEEDEV) a good buy?

On the numbers, DEEDEV (DEEDEV) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 59.0× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DEEDEV overvalued or undervalued?

DEEDEV trades at 59.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the DEEDEV share price target for 2031?

DEEDEV's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,290, with an 80% range of ₹497₹10,313 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DEEDEV doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DEEDEV reaching ₹1,406 (2×) within 5 years is 66%.

What is the bull case for DEEDEV?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹884 (+26%).

What are the risks in DEEDEV?

A rich 59.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on DEEDEV