DEFENCE
MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE (DEFENCE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DEFENCE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE (DEFENCE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 97% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DEFENCE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.3y of DEFENCE history (57%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEFENCE 2027 | ₹96 | ₹138 | ₹198 | +71% |
| DEFENCE 2028 | ₹143 | ₹235 | ₹390 | +191% |
| DEFENCE 2029 | ₹219 | ₹403 | ₹753 | +399% |
| DEFENCE 2030 | ₹339 | ₹696 | ₹1,400 | +763% |
| DEFENCE 2031 | ₹532 | ₹1,190 | ₹2,632 | +1375% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DEFENCE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DEFENCE
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 97% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹138 (+71%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹753.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹219.
DEFENCE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.3 years DEFENCE compounded at 57%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹96–₹198, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DEFENCE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DEFENCE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DEFENCE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DEFENCE price target & forecast page.
DEFENCE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DEFENCE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the DEFENCE MTF page.
DEFENCE vs peers,sector comparison
About MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE: sector, index & market-cap context
MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE (DEFENCE) is an NSE-listed company.
How the DEFENCE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DEFENCE analysis, FAQs
Is MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE (DEFENCE) a good buy?
On the numbers, MIRAEAMC - DEFENCE (DEFENCE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 97% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DEFENCE overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for DEFENCE are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the DEFENCE share price target for 2031?
DEFENCE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,190, with an 80% range of ₹532–₹2,632 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DEFENCE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DEFENCE reaching ₹161 (2×) within 5 years is 100%.
What is the bull case for DEFENCE?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 97% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹138 (+71%).
What are the risks in DEFENCE?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.