Case study

ELCIDIN

ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD.

Worth a closer look1y model +15.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

67Score

ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about ELCIDIN, and the method behind each one.

ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) trades at ₹1,10,000,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.

On the numbers, ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.2× earnings, ROE of 1.2%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ELCIDIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,218 Cr
Current price
₹1,10,000
P/E ratio
23.2×
P/B ratio
0.25×
Book value
₹4,33,672
Dividend yield
0.02%
ROCE
1.4%
ROE
1.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ELCIDIN ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ELCIDIN, as of 18 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is ELCIDIN overvalued? ELCIDIN P/E vs peers

ELCIDIN trades at 23.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ELCIDIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ELCIDIN history (16%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ELCIDIN 2027₹85,329₹1,26,255₹1,86,809+15%
ELCIDIN 2028₹83,189₹1,45,176₹2,53,350+32%
ELCIDIN 2029₹84,830₹1,66,932₹3,28,499+52%
ELCIDIN 2030₹87,166₹1,91,949₹4,22,694+75%
ELCIDIN 2031₹90,835₹2,20,715₹5,36,303+101%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ELCIDIN goes up, or doubles?

67%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
85%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
50%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,19,600 within 5 years

The bull case for ELCIDIN

  • ELCIDIN's P/E of 23.2x is lower than 51% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • ELCIDIN's Piotroski F-Score of 6/8 ranks in the 86th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,26,255 (+15%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,28,499.

The bear case & risks

  • ELCIDIN's return on equity of 1.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹84,830.

ELCIDIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ELCIDIN compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹85,329-₹1,86,809, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ELCIDIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
15.0%
80% range₹85,329-₹1,86,809
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
52.0%
80% range₹84,830-₹3,28,499
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)30%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
101.0%
80% range₹90,835-₹5,36,303
P(price ↑)85%
P(price 2×)50%

ELCIDIN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ELCIDIN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ELCIDIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ELCIDIN price target & forecast page.

ELCIDIN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ELCIDIN scores 6/8, financially strong this cycle.

ELCIDIN MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ELCIDIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.16%3.1×

Compare every broker on the ELCIDIN MTF page.

About ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD.: sector, index & market-cap context

ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,218 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ELCIDIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ELCIDIN analysis, FAQs

Is ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) a good buy?

On the numbers, ELCID INVESTMENTS LTD. (ELCIDIN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.2× earnings, ROE of 1.2%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ELCIDIN overvalued or undervalued?

ELCIDIN trades at 23.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ELCIDIN share price target for 2031?

ELCIDIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,20,715, with an 80% range of ₹90,835-₹5,36,303 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ELCIDIN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ELCIDIN reaching ₹2,19,600 (2×) within 5 years is 50%.

What is the bull case for ELCIDIN?

ELCIDIN's P/E of 23.2x is lower than 51% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. ELCIDIN's Piotroski F-Score of 6/8 ranks in the 86th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ELCIDIN?

ELCIDIN's return on equity of 1.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

More on ELCIDIN

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.