EMAMIPAP
Emami Paper Mills Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Emami Paper Mills Limited (EMAMIPAP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EMAMIPAP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Emami Paper Mills Limited (EMAMIPAP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EMAMIPAP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.7y of EMAMIPAP history (-16%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMAMIPAP 2027 | ₹40 | ₹68 | ₹111 | -21% |
| EMAMIPAP 2028 | ₹26 | ₹53 | ₹109 | -38% |
| EMAMIPAP 2029 | ₹17 | ₹42 | ₹99 | -52% |
| EMAMIPAP 2030 | ₹12 | ₹32 | ₹90 | -63% |
| EMAMIPAP 2031 | ₹8 | ₹25 | ₹77 | -70% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EMAMIPAP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EMAMIPAP
- Emami Paper Mills Limited is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹99.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹17.
EMAMIPAP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.7 years EMAMIPAP compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹40-₹111, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EMAMIPAP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EMAMIPAP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EMAMIPAP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EMAMIPAP price target & forecast page.
EMAMIPAP vs peers,sector comparison
About Emami Paper Mills Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Emami Paper Mills Limited (EMAMIPAP) is an NSE-listed company.
How the EMAMIPAP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Emami Paper Mills Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EMAMIPAP analysis, FAQs
Is Emami Paper Mills Limited (EMAMIPAP) a good buy?
On the numbers, Emami Paper Mills Limited (EMAMIPAP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EMAMIPAP overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for EMAMIPAP are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the EMAMIPAP share price target for 2031?
EMAMIPAP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹25, with an 80% range of ₹8-₹77 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EMAMIPAP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EMAMIPAP reaching ₹172 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for EMAMIPAP?
Emami Paper Mills Limited is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in EMAMIPAP?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.