GEMAROMA
GEMAROMA
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GEMAROMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) trades at ₹187,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100.
On the numbers, GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 682.0× earnings, ROE of 0.4%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GEMAROMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GEMAROMA overvalued? GEMAROMA P/E vs its sector
GEMAROMA's P/E of 682.0× sits above the sector peer median of 16.2×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
GEMAROMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.8y of GEMAROMA history (-62%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEMAROMA 2027 | ₹46 | ₹89 | ₹172 | -53% |
| GEMAROMA 2028 | ₹17 | ₹42 | ₹106 | -78% |
| GEMAROMA 2029 | ₹6 | ₹20 | ₹62 | -89% |
| GEMAROMA 2030 | ₹2 | ₹9 | ₹35 | -95% |
| GEMAROMA 2031 | ₹1 | ₹5 | ₹19 | -98% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GEMAROMA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GEMAROMA
- GEMAROMA is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹62.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 682.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 0.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6.
GEMAROMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.8 years GEMAROMA compounded at -62%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹46-₹172, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GEMAROMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GEMAROMA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GEMAROMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GEMAROMA price target & forecast page.
GEMAROMA Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GEMAROMA scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
GEMAROMA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GEMAROMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 50.00% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the GEMAROMA MTF page.
GEMAROMA vs peers,sector comparison
About GEMAROMA: sector, index & market-cap context
GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹975 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GEMAROMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GEMAROMA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GEMAROMA analysis, FAQs
Is GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) a good buy?
On the numbers, GEMAROMA (GEMAROMA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 682.0× earnings, ROE of 0.4%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GEMAROMA overvalued or undervalued?
GEMAROMA trades at 682.0× earnings versus a peer median of 16.2×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GEMAROMA share price target for 2031?
GEMAROMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5, with an 80% range of ₹1-₹19 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GEMAROMA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GEMAROMA reaching ₹379 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for GEMAROMA?
GEMAROMA is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GEMAROMA?
A rich 682.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 0.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.