Case study

GFLLIMITED

GFLLIMITED

Mixed signals1y model -32.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GFLLIMITED a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) trades at ₹46,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 1.8%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GFLLIMITED fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹501 Cr
Current price
₹46
P/E ratio
11.1×
P/B ratio
0.20×
Book value
₹233
ROCE
2.1%
ROE
1.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GFLLIMITED overvalued? GFLLIMITED P/E vs its sector

GFLLIMITED's P/E of 11.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.

GFLLIMITED P/E
11.1×
Peer median P/E
14.0×
Peer median yield
1.66%

GFLLIMITED share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GFLLIMITED history (-31%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GFLLIMITED 2027₹17₹31₹54-33%
GFLLIMITED 2028₹9₹20₹45-55%
GFLLIMITED 2029₹5₹14₹36-70%
GFLLIMITED 2030₹3₹9₹28-80%
GFLLIMITED 2031₹2₹6₹22-87%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GFLLIMITED goes up, or doubles?

18%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
2%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹91 within 5 years

The bull case for GFLLIMITED

  • Trades at just 11.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.20×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹36.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 1.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5.

GFLLIMITED volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GFLLIMITED compounded at -31%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹17-₹54, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GFLLIMITED price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
32.9%
80% range₹17-₹54
P(price ↑)18%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
70.0%
80% range₹5-₹36
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
86.5%
80% range₹2-₹22
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%

GFLLIMITED price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GFLLIMITED simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GFLLIMITED hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GFLLIMITED price target & forecast page.

GFLLIMITED Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GFLLIMITED scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GFLLIMITED vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GFLLIMITED (this stock)11.1×-₹501 Cr
RELIANCE22.5×0.46%₹17.51L Cr
TCS14.0×3.15%₹7.35L Cr
HDFCBANK16.2×1.63%₹12.29L Cr
INFY13.5×4.80%₹4.06L Cr
ICICIBANK18.2×0.80%₹9.86L Cr
SBIN11.4×1.69%₹9.48L Cr

About GFLLIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹501 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the GFLLIMITED Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GFLLIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GFLLIMITED analysis, FAQs

Is GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) a good buy?

On the numbers, GFLLIMITED (GFLLIMITED) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.1× earnings, ROE of 1.8%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GFLLIMITED overvalued or undervalued?

GFLLIMITED trades at 11.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.0×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the GFLLIMITED share price target for 2031?

GFLLIMITED's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6, with an 80% range of ₹2-₹22 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GFLLIMITED doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GFLLIMITED reaching ₹91 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for GFLLIMITED?

Trades at just 11.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.20×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in GFLLIMITED?

Return on equity is a soft 1.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GFLLIMITED